Mineros vs Diablos Rojos basketball prediction

LNBP
Mineros
vs
Diablos Rojos
Projected score
86-82
Home62%
Away38%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Mineros vs Diablos Rojos?

Basketball: Mineros vs Diablos Rojos (LNBP). Projected 86-82. Mineros is favoured at 62%. Our projected total is 168 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Mineros by 4Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginMinerosDiablos Rojos
Wins62%38%
By 6+46%25%
By 11+31%15%
By 16+19%8%
By 21+11%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Mineros

Season record
9-7
Points per game
86.4
Points allowed
83.6
Rest
10 d
  1. W92-82Dorados
  2. L71-95Dorados
  3. W98-78Panteras
  4. L93-95Panteras
  5. L71-78Soles

Diablos Rojos

Season record
6-10
Points per game
82.3
Points allowed
83.2
Rest
10 d
  1. L82-95Santos
  2. W97-87Santos
  3. W75-73Abejas
  4. L73-81Abejas
  5. L84-95Lobos Plateados

Head to head

  1. Aug 16, 25Mineros85Diablos Rojos92
  2. Aug 15, 25Mineros82Diablos Rojos64
  3. Sep 29, 24Diablos Rojos107Mineros97
  4. Sep 28, 24Diablos Rojos108Mineros82

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology