Deportivo Amambay vs Capiata Bulls basketball prediction

LNB
Deportivo Amambay
vs
Capiata Bulls
Projected score
91-73
Home95%
Away5%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Deportivo Amambay vs Capiata Bulls?

Basketball: Deportivo Amambay vs Capiata Bulls (LNB). Projected 91-73. Deportivo Amambay is favoured at 95%. Our projected total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Deportivo Amambay by 18Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDeportivo AmambayCapiata Bulls
Wins95%5%
By 6+86%4%
By 11+76%3%
By 16+65%2%
By 21+54%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Deportivo Amambay

Season record
14-12
Points per game
81.3
Points allowed
75.3
Rest
6 d
  1. L76-79Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  2. L72-80Colonias Gold
  3. W81-67San Alfonzo
  4. W82-57Deportivo Campoalto
  5. W88-39Panevezys Women

Capiata Bulls

Season record
0-4
Points per game
77
Points allowed
106.8
Rest
5 d
  1. L89-126San Alfonzo
  2. L76-93Dep. San Jose
  3. L71-109Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  4. L72-99Felix Perez Cardozo

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology