Abra Weavers vs Batang Kankaloo basketball prediction

MPBL
Projected score
86-78
Home82%
Away18%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Abra Weavers vs Batang Kankaloo?

Basketball: Abra Weavers vs Batang Kankaloo (MPBL). Projected 86-78. Abra Weavers is favoured at 82%. Our projected total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Abra Weavers by 8Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAbra WeaversBatang Kankaloo
Wins82%18%
By 6+68%12%
By 11+52%7%
By 16+38%4%
By 21+25%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Abra Weavers

Season record
23-2
Points per game
95.8
Points allowed
70.5
Rest
7 d
  1. W94-67Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
  2. L70-74Cebu Greats
  3. W79-51Quezon City
  4. W106-70Valenzuela City Darkhorse
  5. W110-84Bulacan Kuyas

Batang Kankaloo

Season record
20-3
Points per game
94.9
Points allowed
74.7
Rest
13 d
  1. W96-87Pasig City
  2. L82-85GenSan Warriors
  3. W113-83Sarangani Marlins
  4. W103-71Basilan Steel
  5. W89-76Cebu Greats

Head to head

  1. Nov 7, 25Batang Kankaloo62Abra Weavers74
  2. Nov 4, 25Abra Weavers80Batang Kankaloo54
  3. Jun 28, 25Batang Kankaloo66Abra Weavers78

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology