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Atlanta Dream Women vs Golden State Valkyries Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Home +8.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.29

84%
Score prediction
78-73

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.52price falling, opened at 2.00
Away2.54price rising, opened at 1.80
Total points 146.5 line moved from 150.5
Over1.88
Under1.92
Spread -4 line moved from +1
Home1.88
Away1.90

Match analysis

Golden State have won three of their five meetings with Atlanta since 17 October, by four, five and nine points, and only the nine-point game went beyond the start Atlanta get on Thursday. The bet is Atlanta Dream +8.5 points at home, Including Overtime, and Superior's projection has the Dream winning 78-73.

Golden State have not won this series by double figures

The two teams have met five times in eleven days. Golden State won 68-64 on their own floor on 17 October and 67-62 in Atlanta on 24 October, then 64-55 at home on Tuesday. Atlanta's two wins were the wide ones, 79-65 away on 20 October and 97-71 at home two days later. Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries on Thursday is the sixth game, back in Atlanta, where the Dream's one defeat in this run was by five.

Atlanta have scored 62 and 55 in the last two

The worry is Atlanta's scoring. They averaged 89.3 points a game across a 38-18 record, yet managed 62 and 55 in the last two meetings against a Golden State side that allows 75.2. Superior's projection weights recent games more heavily and puts Atlanta on 78, well below their season figure, yet still five points clear of Golden State's 73.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Atlanta Dream Women by 5
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAtlanta Dream WomenGolden State Valkyries Women
Wins65%35%
By 6+49%22%
By 11+34%13%
By 16+21%7%
By 21+12%3%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

Form and context

Atlanta Dream Women

Season record
38-18
Points per game
89.3
Points allowed
82.6
Rest
2 d
  1. L55-64Golden State Valkyries Women
  2. L62-67Golden State Valkyries Women
  3. W97-71Golden State Valkyries Women
  4. W79-65Golden State Valkyries Women
  5. L64-68Golden State Valkyries Women

Golden State Valkyries Women

Season record
40-15
Points per game
81.1
Points allowed
75.2
Rest
2 d
  1. W64-55Atlanta Dream Women
  2. W67-62Atlanta Dream Women
  3. L71-97Atlanta Dream Women
  4. L65-79Atlanta Dream Women
  5. W68-64Atlanta Dream Women

Head to head

  1. 27 Oct 26Golden State Valkyries Women64Atlanta Dream Women55
  2. 24 Oct 26Atlanta Dream Women62Golden State Valkyries Women67
  3. 22 Oct 26Atlanta Dream Women97Golden State Valkyries Women71
  4. 20 Oct 26Golden State Valkyries Women65Atlanta Dream Women79
  5. 17 Oct 26Golden State Valkyries Women68Atlanta Dream Women64
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