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ALBA Berlin vs Ulm basketball prediction

BBL
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Under 182.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.27

83%
Score prediction
85-80

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.49price rising, opened at 1.45
Away2.63price rising, opened at 2.47
Total points 171.5 line moved from 170.5
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread -4.5
Home1.90price rising, opened at 1.83
Away1.90price rising, opened at 1.83

Match analysis

Under 182.5 total points, Including Overtime, is Superior's position for ALBA Berlin vs Ulm, and the head-to-head is the reason: five meetings since May 2025, the highest a 93-84 Ulm win worth 177 points. The projection has ALBA winning 85-80 in Berlin on Sunday, a 165-point game.

Four of Ulm's last five games went past 182.5

Ulm bring the danger into this one. They lost 107-98 at home to Phoenix Hagen on 17 October, a 205-point game, and their games against KK Bosna, Vechta and Manresa all finished between 189 and 195. In the BBL they allow 86.2 points a game. Their latest outing cooled off, an 87-78 defeat at PAOK on Wednesday that came to 165.

Against ALBA, Ulm's scoring has stayed in the 60s and 70s

The meeting in Ulm on 22 April ended 89-77 to ALBA, and in December Ulm won 67-66 in Berlin, a 133-point game. October 2025 in Berlin came to 158, and the two May 2025 games to 177 and 136. Ulm topped 77 points only once in those five. ALBA's own league games run at 80.4 scored and 90.6 allowed, and the projected 165 sits 17.5 points below the line.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • ALBA Berlin by 5
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginALBA BerlinUlm
Wins66%34%
By 6+53%23%
By 11+40%14%
By 16+27%8%
By 21+18%4%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

Form and context

ALBA Berlin

Season record
2-3
Points per game
80.4
Points allowed
90.6
Rest
5 d
  1. W83-71Bamberg
  2. W90-79Igokea
  3. L75-95Trier
  4. W110-86Slavia Prague Era Nbk
  5. L83-98Bamberg

Ulm

Season record
2-3
Points per game
82
Points allowed
86.2
Rest
4 d
  1. L78-87PAOK
  2. L98-107Phoenix Hagen
  3. W102-93KK Bosna
  4. L92-97Vechta
  5. L89-101Manresa Baxi

Head to head

  1. 22 Apr 26Ulm77ALBA Berlin89
  2. 20 Dec 25ALBA Berlin66Ulm67
  3. 19 Oct 25ALBA Berlin90Ulm68
  4. 24 May 25Ulm93ALBA Berlin84
  5. 21 May 25ALBA Berlin62Ulm74
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