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Kouvot Kouvola vs KTP Basket Kotka basketball prediction

Korisliiga
Top pick 2

Our pick:Under 186.5 incl. overtime

80%Odds 1.26

Score prediction82-89

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home3.88
Away1.18
Total points 175.5
Over1.82
Under1.76
Spread +8.5
Home1.77
Away1.81
Methodology

Match analysis

Kouvot Kouvola have not scored more than 95 points in any of their last five games, and KTP Basket Kotka arrive having held all five recent opponents to 89 or fewer. Superior takes Under 186.5 in Kouvola, Including Overtime, with KTP forecast to win 89-82, a 171-point game.

KTP have won five straight without allowing 90

KTP's wins came by 11, 21, 16, 6 and 23 points, and the 89 they gave up at UU-Korihait on 17 October was the most any of those opponents managed. Kouvot won once in that stretch, 95-76 against Kataja on 16 October, and averaged 84.6 points a game in that run. The meetings between these clubs hold the one real threat: Kouvot beat KTP 108-84 at home in March 2025, a 192-point game, and they have won each of the last three meetings in Kouvola. The two most recent games between them came in lower, 179 points in November 2025 and 170 in January.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • KTP Basket Kotka by 7
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKouvot KouvolaKTP Basket Kotka
Wins36%64%
By 6+23%51%
By 11+14%38%
By 16+8%26%
By 21+4%16%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

Form and context

Kouvot Kouvola

Season record
1-4
Points per game
84.6
Points allowed
86.4
Rest
5 d
  1. W95-76Kataja
  2. L83-91Lahti Basketball
  3. L80-89Kipinä Basket
  4. L91-99Tapiolan Honka
  5. L74-77Karhu Basket

KTP Basket Kotka

Season record
5-0
Points per game
92.2
Points allowed
76.8
Rest
4 d
  1. W100-89UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
  2. W102-81Salon Vilpas Vikings
  3. W88-72Pyrinto Tampere
  4. W84-78Karhu Basket
  5. W87-64Bisons Loimaa

Head to head

  1. 20 Jan 26Kouvot Kouvola90KTP Basket Kotka80
  2. 14 Nov 25KTP Basket Kotka103Kouvot Kouvola76
  3. 15 Mar 25Kouvot Kouvola108KTP Basket Kotka84
  4. 8 Feb 25KTP Basket Kotka84Kouvot Kouvola76
  5. 15 Dec 24Kouvot Kouvola98KTP Basket Kotka87
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