Real Madrid vs Bilbao Basket basketball prediction

Top pick 2

Our pick:Under 195.5 incl. overtime

81%Odds 1.25

Score prediction97-88

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.14

Away5.75

Total points 183

Over1.88

Under1.90

Spread -10.5

Home1.90

Away1.90

Methodology

Match analysis

Five meetings between Real Madrid and Bilbao Basket since January 2024 finished between 152 and 175 points, and that history is the base for Under 195.5 points, Including Overtime, on Sunday. Madrid have scored freely this autumn, yet the projection is a 97-88 home win, 185 points, ten under the line.

Bilbao won the last meeting 88-82

Bilbao Basket beat Madrid 88-82 at home on 14 May, 170 points, and the two Madrid home meetings before it ended 82-70 and 88-70. The highest of the five was 175, a 95-80 Madrid win in January 2024, which still left twenty points to spare against this line.

Madrid average 107.7 points in the ACB

Madrid's own attack is the threat. They have won all three league games, put 120 on Manresa on 11 October and won 114-107 at Obradoiro, a 221-point game. Bilbao's league games run high as well, including a 104-101 defeat at Leyma Coruña on 4 October.

Sunday lunchtime, three days after Lyon

Madrid hosted Lyon-Villeurbanne on Thursday and tip off at 12:30 in Madrid on Sunday, their fifth game since 8 October, while Bilbao have had three days since beating Slavia Prague 97-86. Rest is one of the inputs behind the projection, and it still has Madrid winning by nine.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk