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San Pablo Burgos vs Obradoiro CAB basketball prediction

ACB
Top pick 2

Our pick:Under 197.5 incl. overtime

80%Odds 1.26

Score prediction95-91

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.49price rising, opened at 1.47
Away2.63price falling, opened at 2.67
Total points 184.5 line moved from 185.5
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread -4.5
Home1.90
Away1.90
Methodology

Match analysis

San Pablo Burgos have not played a game above 183 points in their last five, and Superior backs Under 197.5 points when Obradoiro visit, Including Overtime. A 95-91 Burgos win is the projection, 186 points, and the two most recent meetings between the clubs finished on 177 and 176.

Burgos games keep landing between 166 and 183

Burgos have lost three straight, by one point to Hapoel Jerusalem at home on 14 October, by nine at Bilbao and by 13 at Aris, and those defeats added up to 169, 183 and 173 points. In the ACB they score 92.7 and concede 91.7 a game. Obradoiro's 114-107 home defeat to Real Madrid on 4 October, 221 points in all, is the one result that argues the other way. Their other two league games, a 91-89 home win over Lleida and a 90-85 win at Andorra, came in at 180 and 175. Burgos also play on three days' rest after the Hapoel game, while Obradoiro have had six.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • San Pablo Burgos by 4
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSan Pablo BurgosObradoiro CAB
Wins64%36%
By 6+48%23%
By 11+33%13%
By 16+20%7%
By 21+11%3%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

Form and context

San Pablo Burgos

Season record
1-2
Points per game
92.7
Points allowed
91.7
Rest
3 d
  1. L84-85Hapoel Jerusalem
  2. L87-96Bilbao Basket
  3. L80-93Aris Thessaloniki
  4. W94-81Força Lleida
  5. W85-81Cedevita Olimpija

Obradoiro CAB

Season record
2-1
Points per game
96
Points allowed
96
Rest
6 d
  1. W91-89Força Lleida
  2. L107-114Real Madrid
  3. W90-85MoraBanc Andorra
  4. W85-68Gipuzkoa
  5. W95-65Estela

Head to head

  1. 16 Feb 25San Pablo Burgos95Obradoiro CAB82
  2. 19 Oct 24Obradoiro CAB85San Pablo Burgos91
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