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Pau-Lacq-Orthez vs Saint Quentin basketball prediction

LNB
Top pick 3

Our pick:Under 178.5 incl. overtime

80%Odds 1.26

Score prediction85-81

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.63price rising, opened at 1.62
Away2.12price rising, opened at 2.10
Total points 166.5
Over1.84price falling, opened at 1.90
Under1.84price falling, opened at 1.90
Spread -2.5
Home1.79price falling, opened at 1.80
Away1.88price falling, opened at 1.90
Methodology

Match analysis

Pau-Lacq-Orthez have scored 68.0 points a game while losing their first three LNB games, and that home attack is the reason Superior takes Under 178.5 points against Saint Quentin, Including Overtime. Saint Quentin give up plenty, yet the projection is still an 85-81 Pau win, 166 points.

Pau managed 61 against Dijon and 64 at Nanterre

Pau's league run reads 64-78 at Nanterre, 61-89 at home to Dijon and 79-85 at Cholet. The 109-69 win at Tarbes on 6 October is the only time they have passed 80 since late September, and even that game finished on 178.

A week off for both teams

Pau have not played since the Cholet defeat on 10 October and Saint Quentin since losing 98-87 to Le Mans a day later, so neither side comes in on a short turnaround. The 85-81 projection keeps both teams under the points each one has allowed per game this season.

Saint Quentin concede 97.7 a game

The threat to the Under sits on the visitors' side. Saint Quentin's 106-103 win over JL Bourg finished on 209, the 123-74 loss at Besançon on 197 and the Le Mans defeat on 185, so three of their last five went past this line.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Pau-Lacq-Orthez by 4
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPau-Lacq-OrthezSaint Quentin
Wins59%41%
By 6+45%26%
By 11+32%15%
By 16+21%8%
By 21+12%4%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

Form and context

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

Season record
0-3
Points per game
68
Points allowed
84
Rest
7 d
  1. L79-85Cholet
  2. W109-69Tarbes
  3. L61-89Dijon
  4. L64-78Nanterre 92
  5. W86-73Poitiers

Saint Quentin

Season record
1-2
Points per game
89.3
Points allowed
97.7
Rest
6 d
  1. L87-98Le Mans
  2. L75-92Limoges CSP
  3. W106-103JL Bourg
  4. L74-123Besançon
  5. L73-76Poitiers
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