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MoraBanc Andorra vs Breogan basketball prediction

ACB
Top pick 5

Our pick:Under 194.5 incl. overtime

80%Odds 1.26

Score prediction95-95

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.73price rising, opened at 1.65
Away2.11price falling, opened at 2.24
Total points 185 line moved from 182.5
Over1.88
Under1.90
Spread -2 line moved from -2.5
Home1.89
Away1.89
Methodology

Match analysis

Superior backs Under 194.5 points (Including Overtime) in MoraBanc Andorra vs Breogan, even with Breogan scoring 108.7 points a game in a 3-0 league start. Andorra have scored 81.3 a game in three league defeats, and the 95-95 projection holds Breogan well below their current rate.

Breogan passed 194 in four of their last five

Breogan's last five finished on 207, 196, 214, 223 and 189 points, including a 115-92 home win over Girona on 10 October and a 110-104 win over Joventut on 27 September. Breogan's 104-101 win in Andorra in January made 205 and Andorra's 99-97 win away at Breogan in April made 196, so two of the last five meetings beat this line as well.

Andorra have topped out at 85 in the league

Andorra lost 90-85 at home to Obradoiro, 92-84 at Unicaja and 96-75 at Joventut on 14 October, and those three games stayed between 171 and 176 points.

Three days after Joventut, a week after Girona

Andorra are back on court three days after the Joventut defeat, while Breogan have had a week since beating Girona. The projection meets in the middle at 95 points each, which holds Breogan 13.7 under their league rate and lifts Andorra above theirs, for 190 in all.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Level
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginMoraBanc AndorraBreogan
Wins55%45%
By 6+38%32%
By 11+23%20%
By 16+13%11%
By 21+6%6%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

Form and context

MoraBanc Andorra

Season record
0-3
Points per game
81.3
Points allowed
92.7
Rest
2 d
  1. L75-96Joventut Badalona
  2. L84-92Unicaja Malaga
  3. L85-90Obradoiro CAB
  4. L95-100Barcelona Bàsquet
  5. W116-88Força Lleida

Breogan

Season record
3-0
Points per game
108.7
Points allowed
97
Rest
6 d
  1. W115-92Basquet Girona
  2. W101-95Manresa Baxi
  3. W110-104Joventut Badalona
  4. L110-113Dziki Warszawa
  5. W105-84Manchester Giants

Head to head

  1. 11 Apr 26Breogan97MoraBanc Andorra99
  2. 17 Jan 26MoraBanc Andorra101Breogan104
  3. 8 Mar 25Breogan94MoraBanc Andorra74
  4. 4 Jan 25MoraBanc Andorra93Breogan101
  5. 10 May 24Breogan97MoraBanc Andorra92
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