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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul basketball prediction

EuroleagueFull time
Top pick 5

Our pick:Under 180.5 incl. overtime

77%Odds 1.25Won

Score prediction87-78

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.37price falling, opened at 1.38
Away3.10price rising, opened at 3.08
Total points 168 line moved from 167.5
Over1.89
Under1.91
Spread -6.5 line moved from -5.5
Home1.91
Away1.89
Methodology

Match analysis

Five meetings between Zalgiris Kaunas and Anadolu Efes Istanbul since January 2024 produced between 151 and 174 points, and Under 180.5 Including Overtime follows from that history. Superior projects an 87-78 Zalgiris win in Kaunas, against an Efes side scoring 81.4 points a game this season.

Five meetings, none above 174 points

Anadolu Efes won 92-82 in Istanbul in February, 87-64 in Kaunas in December 2025 and 87-77 in Istanbul in April 2025, and Zalgiris won the two before that at home, 85-72 and 96-70. February's 174 was the highest of the five. Efes scored 66 at Olympiacos on 9 October and 72 at Crvena zvezda on 1 October.

Efes just conceded 101 to Bayern

The recent number that leans the other way is Efes' 101-93 home defeat to Bayern Munich on 14 October, 194 points. It was the only game in their last five above 164, and they travel to Kaunas with one day off after it. Zalgiris held Lietkabelis to 68 at home on 4 October.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Zalgiris Kaunas by 9
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginZalgiris KaunasAnadolu Efes Istanbul
Wins70%30%
By 6+56%15%
By 11+41%7%
By 16+26%2%
By 21+15%1%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

  • Moneyline: Home70%Lost
  • Spread: Home +3.576%Lost
  • Total Points: Under 181.580%Won

Form and context

Zalgiris Kaunas

Season record
2-3
Points per game
84
Points allowed
86.4
Rest
2 d
  1. L80-99Fenerbahce
  2. W80-76Nevėžis-OPTIBET Kedainiai
  3. W88-81Barcelona Bàsquet
  4. W97-68BC Lietkabelis Panevezys
  5. L78-82Paris Basketball

Anadolu Efes Istanbul

Season record
1-4
Points per game
81.4
Points allowed
88
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. L93-101Bayern Munich
  2. W85-76Denizli Basket
  3. L66-89Olympiacos Piraeus
  4. W85-79Bordo Bandirma
  5. L72-77Crvena zvezda

Head to head

  1. 6 Feb 26Anadolu Efes Istanbul92Zalgiris Kaunas82
  2. 17 Dec 25Zalgiris Kaunas64Anadolu Efes Istanbul87
  3. 11 Apr 25Anadolu Efes Istanbul87Zalgiris Kaunas77
  4. 5 Dec 24Zalgiris Kaunas85Anadolu Efes Istanbul72
  5. 31 Jan 24Zalgiris Kaunas96Anadolu Efes Istanbul70

Match highlights

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