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Força Lleida vs Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz basketball prediction

ACB
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Away +2.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.34

87%
Score prediction
86-100

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home2.32price falling, opened at 2.67
Away1.60price rising, opened at 1.47
Total points 187.5 line moved from 185.5
Over1.89
Under1.91
Spread +3 line moved from +4.5
Home1.90
Away1.88

Match analysis

Baskonia +2.5 points at Força Lleida, Including Overtime, bets against a home side that has lost five games in a row, three of them by 13 points or more, and gives up 106.8 a game in the ACB. Baskonia's own run is poor, four defeats in five, but Superior still projects them to win 100-86, and the handicap carries an 87% chance.

Four defeats in Baskonia's last five games

Baskonia have lost 84-65 at Fenerbahce on Thursday, 94-79 at Lyon-Villeurbanne, 104-86 at home to Real Madrid and 84-75 at Valencia, with a 106-83 win over Manresa on 1 November the only result in between. They also arrive on two days of rest against a Lleida side that has had a full week off. Rest is one of the inputs behind the projection, so that gap is already counted in the 14-point margin.

Lleida have lost at home to Madrid by 36 and Burgos by 13

Lleida are 1-5 in the league, scoring 92.8 a game, while Baskonia are 4-2 and concede 82.8. The two home games in Lleida's run went 122-86 to Real Madrid and 94-81 to San Pablo Burgos, and the closest of the five defeats was 91-89 at Obradoiro on 11 October.

Every meeting since 2024 finished within six points

Baskonia won 100-99 and 93-90 at home and 78-74 in Lleida. Lleida's one win in that series, 86-80 at home in November 2025, is the result that would have beaten this pick.

Form and context

Força Lleida

Season record
1-5
Points per game
92.8
Points allowed
106.8
Rest
7 d
  1. L98-125Murcia
  2. L86-122Real Madrid
  3. L98-109Basket Zaragoza
  4. L89-91Obradoiro CAB
  5. L81-94San Pablo Burgos

Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

Season record
4-2
Points per game
94.5
Points allowed
82.8
Rest
2 d
  1. L65-84Fenerbahce
  2. W106-83Manresa Baxi
  3. L79-94Lyon-Villeurbanne
  4. L86-104Real Madrid
  5. L75-84Valencia

Head to head

  1. 8 Mar 26Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93Força Lleida90
  2. 9 Nov 25Força Lleida86Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz80
  3. 26 Jan 25Força Lleida74Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz78
  4. 10 Nov 24Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz100Força Lleida99
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