Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers basketball prediction

Top pick 3

Our pick:Under 242.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.25Won

82%

Score prediction: 113-113

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.70

Away2.14

Total points 227.5

Over1.90

Under1.90

Spread -2.5

Home1.90

Away1.90

Methodology

Match analysis

The Thunder and the Cavaliers meet again a few days after Oklahoma City's 117-112 win in Cleveland, and Superior takes Under 242.5 points, Including Overtime, for the rematch. Superior projects 113 points for each side, and none of the Thunder's last five games got as high as 240.

Oklahoma City's last five all stopped short of 240

The Thunder's last five finished 117-112, 98-119, 96-120, 125-114 and 108-101, with the win over Phoenix the highest of them. Over the season they score 108.8 and allow 111.6 a game, against 118.6 and 117.4 for Cleveland.

Three meetings in 2026, none above 240

Oklahoma City won 136-104 in Cleveland in January, 121-113 at home in February and 117-112 this week. Superior's projection sits close to the main line of 229.5, which leaves 13 points of room under 242.5.

Cleveland's high-scoring nights are the danger

The Cavaliers won 136-111 at Milwaukee and 127-125 against Minnesota in their last five, and both January 2025 meetings with the Thunder, 134-114 and 129-122, went past 242.5 as well.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk

Form and context