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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos basketball prediction

Euroleague
Real Madrid
vs
Panathinaikos
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Home +6.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.32

88%
Score prediction
90-82

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.74price falling, opened at 1.84
Away2.08price rising, opened at 1.96
Total points 171 line moved from 170.5
Over1.90
Under1.88
Spread -1.5
Home1.87price falling, opened at 1.97
Away1.93price rising, opened at 1.83
Methodology
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Match analysis

Real Madrid +6.5 points, Including Overtime, is a bet against Panathinaikos away from Athens. Their 7-2 Euroleague record leans on home wins, and both road games in their last five were lost, 101-91 at Aris on Sunday and 83-68 at Anadolu Efes two days earlier, while Madrid come in on five straight wins.

Three home wins and two road defeats for Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos beat Baskonia by six, Karditsa by 14 and Olimpia Milano by five at home in late October. Then they went on the road, scored 68 in Istanbul and gave up 101 in Thessaloniki. Wednesday's game in Madrid is their next trip, three days after the Aris loss.

A defence that allows 75 points a game

The case for Panathinaikos is their season defence. They allow 75.0 points a game to Madrid's 88.0 and outscore opponents by 9.6 a game, a wider margin than the 6.5 points Madrid receive here. Karditsa managed 64 against them and Olimpia Milano 75.

Madrid have scored 90 or more in each of their last five

Madrid scored 113 at Maccabi Tel Aviv, 104 at Baskonia and 95 against Fenerbahce, winning those three by 14, 18 and 19, and they beat San Pablo Burgos 90-79 on Sunday. Superior projects a 90-82 home win.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk

Form and context

Real Madrid

Season record
6-3
Points per game
96.2
Points allowed
88
Rest
3 d
  1. W90-79San Pablo Burgos
  2. W95-76Fenerbahce
  3. W104-86Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
  4. W122-86Força Lleida
  5. W113-99Maccabi Tel Aviv

Panathinaikos

Season record
7-2
Points per game
84.6
Points allowed
75
Rest
3 d
  1. L91-101Aris Thessaloniki
  2. L68-83Anadolu Efes Istanbul
  3. W80-75Olimpia Milano
  4. W78-64As Karditsa
  5. W85-79Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

Head to head

  1. 3 Feb 26Panathinaikos82Real Madrid81
  2. 13 Nov 25Real Madrid77Panathinaikos87
  3. 6 Mar 25Panathinaikos85Real Madrid70
  4. 17 Oct 24Real Madrid90Panathinaikos86
  5. 26 May 24Panathinaikos80Real Madrid95
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