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Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda basketball prediction

Euroleague
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Under 185.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.26

75%
Score prediction
89-85

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.36
Away3.15
Total points 173
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread -6.5
Home1.88
Away1.92

Match analysis

Four of the last five Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda meetings finished under 185 points, the latest a 103-82 Madrid win on 16 April that totalled exactly 185, and Superior backs Under 185.5 points Including Overtime. Zvezda score 83.2 points a game this season, almost 15 fewer than Madrid's 97.8, and that gap has kept this pairing low.

Only the March 2024 meeting cleared 185 points

Real Madrid and Zvezda have met five times since March 2024, and the totals ran 195, 167, 150, 165 and 185 in that order. The one over the line was the first, a 101-94 Madrid home win. The lowest was a 78-72 Madrid win away in March 2025, and Zvezda's 62-57 win at Olympiacos on 6 November is the lowest total in either side's last five games.

Madrid's own games average 188.5 points

Madrid's Euroleague games run high, 97.8 scored and 90.7 allowed per game, and Panathinaikos won 115-112 in Madrid on 4 November. Zvezda's games have averaged 158.2. Superior's projection sits between the two, an 89-85 Madrid win and about 174 points.

Form and context

Real Madrid

Season record
6-4
Points per game
97.8
Points allowed
90.7
Rest
4 d
  1. W90-71Murcia
  2. L112-115Panathinaikos
  3. W90-79San Pablo Burgos
  4. W95-76Fenerbahce
  5. W104-86Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

Crvena zvezda

Season record
7-3
Points per game
83.2
Points allowed
75
Rest
3 d
  1. W91-80Slovan Bratislava
  2. W62-57Olympiacos Piraeus
  3. W100-82Siroki Brijeg
  4. W103-73Bayern Munich
  5. W100-78Maccabi Tel Aviv

Head to head

  1. 16 Apr 26Real Madrid103Crvena zvezda82
  2. 17 Oct 25Crvena zvezda90Real Madrid75
  3. 28 Mar 25Crvena zvezda72Real Madrid78
  4. 24 Oct 24Real Madrid95Crvena zvezda72
  5. 29 Mar 24Real Madrid101Crvena zvezda94
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