CD Puerto Varas vs Espanol Osorno basketball prediction

LNBFull time
CD Puerto Varas
95:79
Espanol Osorno
Projected score
80-79
Home48%
Away52%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for CD Puerto Varas vs Espanol Osorno?

Basketball: CD Puerto Varas vs Espanol Osorno (LNB). Projected 80-79. CD Puerto Varas is favoured at 48%. Our projected total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: CD Puerto Varas by 1Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCD Puerto VarasEspanol Osorno
Wins48%52%
By 6+34%36%
By 11+22%22%
By 16+13%12%
By 21+7%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

CD Puerto Varas

Season record
18-16
Points per game
79.9
Points allowed
80.6
Rest
4 d
  1. L69-96Valdivia
  2. L82-86Ancud
  3. W102-67Naviera Ulloa
  4. L59-80Puerto Montt
  5. W91-90CD Las Ánimas

Espanol Osorno

Season record
22-11
Points per game
81.7
Points allowed
77.3
Rest
0 dback-to-back
  1. L91-94CD Las Ánimas
  2. L79-82Puerto Montt
  3. L70-77Valdivia
  4. W86-84Naviera Ulloa
  5. W92-91Ancud

Head to head

  1. Jul 27, 26Espanol Osorno87CD Puerto Varas76
  2. Jun 9, 26Espanol Osorno69CD Puerto Varas55
  3. Jun 6, 26CD Puerto Varas61Espanol Osorno62
  4. Jun 5, 26CD Puerto Varas87Espanol Osorno83
  5. May 30, 26Espanol Osorno60CD Puerto Varas63

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeCD Puerto Varas 95, Espanol Osorno 79winner call correct

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology