Basilan Viva Portmasters vs Binan Tatak Gel basketball prediction

MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
vs
Binan Tatak Gel
Projected score
75-82
Home16%
Away84%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Basilan Viva Portmasters vs Binan Tatak Gel?

Basketball: Basilan Viva Portmasters vs Binan Tatak Gel (MPBL). Projected 75-82. Binan Tatak Gel is favoured at 84%. Our projected total is 157 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Binan Tatak Gel by 7Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBasilan Viva PortmastersBinan Tatak Gel
Wins16%84%
By 6+11%69%
By 11+7%53%
By 16+4%38%
By 21+2%25%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Basilan Viva Portmasters

Season record
3-3
Points per game
77.5
Points allowed
75.3
Rest
91 d
  1. L75-83Mindoro Tamaraws
  2. L73-75Pasig City
  3. W80-75Cebu Classic
  4. W82-76Pasay Voyagers
  5. L56-57Ilagan Isabela Cowboys

Binan Tatak Gel

Season record
17-5
Points per game
87.2
Points allowed
72.2
Rest
5 d
  1. W110-86Paranaque Patriots
  2. L53-63Abra Weavers
  3. W102-74Valenzuela City Darkhorse
  4. W90-69Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
  5. W78-77Cebu Greats

Head to head

  1. May 15, 25Binan Tatak Gel68Basilan Viva Portmasters66

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology