Yarud Mariupol' vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction - September 9, 2026

CupUkraineFull time
Yarud Mariupol'
0:2
Zorya Luhansk
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:0-2

Match Winner: Away1.31Won

Bookmaker odds

Home7.60price falling, opened at 9.25
Draw4.22price falling, opened at 4.90
Away1.41price rising, opened at 1.31

Market move since Sep 8. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21price rising, opened at 1.14
Under 1.53.58price falling, opened at 4.80
Over 2.51.78price rising, opened at 1.60
Under 2.51.93price falling, opened at 2.20
Over 3.52.83price rising, opened at 2.60
Under 3.51.33price falling, opened at 1.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.94price falling, opened at 1.98
No1.79price rising, opened at 1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home +1.251.77
Away -1.251.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Yarud Mariupol' vs Zorya Luhansk?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 0-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-28.5%Projected
  2. 0-28.3%Alternative
  3. 1-38.2%
  4. 0-38.1%
  5. 1-46.0%

Top five combined: 39.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeYarud Mariupol'xG1.01
AwayZorya LuhanskxG2.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
1
5.7%
5.8%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
2
8.3%
8.5%
4.3%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
8.1%
8.2%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
5.9%
6.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
3.5%
3.5%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
2.8%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.3%39.7% No
Over 1.5 90.3%9.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 75.2%24.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 55.3%44.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Yarud Mariupol' win and over 2.5 goals7.1%
Yarud Mariupol' win and both teams score6.7%
Zorya Luhansk win and over 2.5 goals62.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals7.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Yarud Mariupol' or draw23.8%
Zorya Luhansk or draw89.9%
Either team wins86.3%
Draw no bet: Yarud Mariupol'11.7%
Draw no bet: Zorya Luhansk88.3%
Yarud Mariupol' win to nil3.4%
Zorya Luhansk win to nil34.3%
Team goals
Yarud Mariupol' to score63.7%
Zorya Luhansk to score94.6%
Yarud Mariupol' over 1.5 goals26.9%
Zorya Luhansk over 1.5 goals78.9%
Yarud Mariupol' clean sheet5.4%
Zorya Luhansk clean sheet36.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Yarud Mariupol' vs Zorya Luhansk