Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.50Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.51

Draw3.08

Away2.58

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.35

Under 1.52.74

Over 2.52.14

Under 2.51.63

Over 3.53.80

Under 3.51.19

Both teams to score

Yes1.84

No1.85

Odd/Even

Odd1.84

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +01.81

Away +01.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Recoleta are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 6, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

Recoleta and San Marcos de Arica average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-110.4%Our score
2-19.9%Alternative
1-09.3%
2-08.8%
3-16.2%

Top five combined: 44.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRecoletaxG1.89

AwaySan Marcos de AricaxG1.12

4.9%

9.3%

8.8%

5.5%

2.6%

1.0%

0.4%

5.5%

10%

9.9%

6.2%

2.9%

1.1%

0.5%

3.1%

5.9%

5.5%

3.5%

1.6%

0.6%

0.3%

1.2%

2.2%

2.1%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.3%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.1%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.2%42.8% No

Over 1.5 80.2%19.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 57.9%42.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 35.5%64.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Recoleta win and over 2.5 goals37.1%

Recoleta win and both teams score27.6%

San Marcos de Arica win and over 2.5 goals13.7%

Draw and under 2.5 goals15.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Recoleta or draw77.6%

San Marcos de Arica or draw44.8%

Either team wins77.6%

Draw no bet: Recoleta71.2%

Draw no bet: San Marcos de Arica28.8%

Recoleta win to nil27.6%

San Marcos de Arica win to nil10.2%

Team goals

Recoleta to score84.8%

San Marcos de Arica to score67.4%

Recoleta over 1.5 goals56.2%

San Marcos de Arica over 1.5 goals30.9%

Recoleta clean sheet32.6%

San Marcos de Arica clean sheet15.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica

Head to Head

Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 5, 2026	San Marcos de Arica	1 - 0	Recoleta
September 8, 2025	Recoleta	0 - 0	San Marcos de Arica

League Table

Primera BChile · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Santiago Wanderers	24	12	8	4	40	25	+15	44
2	Cobreloa	24	11	9	4	42	27	+15	42
3	Magallanes	25	11	7	7	41	38	+3	40
4	Antofagasta	24	10	8	6	41	24	+17	38
4	D. Puerto Montt	17	9	2	6	21	18	+3	29
5	San Luis	23	10	8	5	36	28	+8	38
6	Recoleta	25	10	8	7	36	33	+3	38
7	San Marcos de Arica	25	9	9	7	31	23	+8	36
8	Union Espanola	24	10	5	9	31	31	0	35
9	Deportes Puerto Montt	25	10	4	11	26	31	-5	34
10	Deportes Temuco	24	8	7	9	39	34	+5	31
11	Deportes Copiapo	24	8	7	9	33	38	-5	31
12	Deportes Iquique	25	6	10	9	32	29	+3	28
13	Curico Unido	25	6	9	10	22	38	-16	24
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	25	4	10	11	26	38	-12	22
15	Union San Felipe	23	5	7	11	15	37	-22	22
16	Rangers de Talca	25	4	6	15	22	39	-17	18

Primera B - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Santiago Wanderers	24	12	8	4	40	25	15	44	WWLDW
2	Cobreloa	24	11	9	4	42	27	15	42	DWDWD
3	Magallanes	25	11	7	7	41	38	3	40	WLDWL
4	Antofagasta	24	10	8	6	41	24	17	38	WLDLD
4	D. Puerto Montt	17	9	2	6	21	18	3	29	WWDLL
5	San Luis	23	10	8	5	36	28	8	38	DWWDW
6	Recoleta	25	10	8	7	36	33	3	38	LLDDD
7	San Marcos de Arica	25	9	9	7	31	23	8	36	DWLLW
8	Union Espanola	24	10	5	9	31	31	0	35	LWDDL
9	Deportes Puerto Montt	25	10	4	11	26	31	-5	34
10	Deportes Temuco	24	8	7	9	39	34	5	31	LLWWW
11	Deportes Copiapo	24	8	7	9	33	38	-5	31	DWDWL
12	Deportes Iquique	25	6	10	9	32	29	3	28	DWDLD
13	Curico Unido	25	6	9	10	22	38	-16	24	DLWWD
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	25	4	10	11	26	38	-12	22	LLWDD
15	Union San Felipe	23	5	7	11	15	37	-22	22	LLDWL
16	Rangers de Talca	25	4	6	15	22	39	-17	18	DDLLL

Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction - September 9, 2026

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What is the prediction for Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table