Matsumoto Yamaga vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction - September 9, 2026

J-League CupJapanPEN
Matsumoto Yamaga
4:3Pens
AET 3-3
Shonan Bellmare
Correct scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.25Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.74
Draw3.24
Away2.47

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31
Under 1.52.92
Over 2.52.12
Under 2.51.68
Over 3.53.78
Under 3.51.19
Both teams to score
Yes1.82
No1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +01.97
Away +01.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Shonan Bellmare?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Shonan Bellmare are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Matsumoto Yamaga and Shonan Bellmare average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-010.5%Our score
  2. 1-010.2%
  3. 2-19.9%
  4. 1-19.6%Alternative
  5. 3-07.2%

Top five combined: 47.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMatsumoto YamagaxG2.06
AwayShonan BellmarexG0.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.9%
10%
10%
7.2%
3.7%
1.5%
0.7%
1
4.7%
9.6%
9.9%
6.8%
3.5%
1.4%
0.7%
2
2.2%
4.6%
4.7%
3.2%
1.7%
0.7%
0.3%
3
0.7%
1.4%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.4%46.6% No
Over 1.5 80.2%19.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.9%42.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.5%64.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Matsumoto Yamaga win and over 2.5 goals42.4%
Matsumoto Yamaga win and both teams score29.3%
Shonan Bellmare win and over 2.5 goals9.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Matsumoto Yamaga or draw83.5%
Shonan Bellmare or draw36.9%
Either team wins79.6%
Draw no bet: Matsumoto Yamaga79.3%
Draw no bet: Shonan Bellmare20.7%
Matsumoto Yamaga win to nil33.8%
Shonan Bellmare win to nil7.8%
Team goals
Matsumoto Yamaga to score87.3%
Shonan Bellmare to score61.2%
Matsumoto Yamaga over 1.5 goals61.0%
Shonan Bellmare over 1.5 goals24.5%
Matsumoto Yamaga clean sheet38.8%
Shonan Bellmare clean sheet12.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Matsumoto Yamaga vs Shonan Bellmare