MVV Maastricht vs Roda Prediction - September 6, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
MVV Maastricht
1:1
Roda
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.33price rising, opened at 3.25
Draw3.42price rising, opened at 3.40
Away2.08price falling, opened at 2.12

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18
Under 1.53.92price rising, opened at 3.85
Over 2.51.68price falling, opened at 1.70
Under 2.52.12price rising, opened at 2.09
Over 3.52.52price falling, opened at 2.56
Under 3.51.41price rising, opened at 1.40
Both teams to score
Yes1.56price falling, opened at 1.57
No2.28price rising, opened at 2.25
Odd/Even
Odd1.89
Even1.81
Handicap
Home +0.251.92price rising, opened at 1.88
Away -0.251.74price falling, opened at 1.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht vs Roda?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Roda are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • MVV Maastricht and Roda average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.3%Our score
  2. 1-28.8%Alternative
  3. 2-17.8%
  4. 0-16.7%
  5. 2-26.7%

Top five combined: 40.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMVV MaastrichtxG1.52
AwayRodaxG1.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.9%
6.0%
4.6%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
6.7%
10%
7.8%
4.0%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
2
5.8%
8.8%
6.7%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
3
3.3%
5.0%
3.8%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
1.4%
2.1%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.5%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 64.0%36.0% No
Over 1.5 83.3%16.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 62.7%37.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 40.5%59.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

MVV Maastricht win and over 2.5 goals23.9%
MVV Maastricht win and both teams score20.3%
Roda win and over 2.5 goals29.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
MVV Maastricht or draw57.7%
Roda or draw65.5%
Either team wins76.8%
Draw no bet: MVV Maastricht44.9%
Draw no bet: Roda55.1%
MVV Maastricht win to nil14.2%
Roda win to nil17.8%
Team goals
MVV Maastricht to score78.2%
Roda to score81.9%
MVV Maastricht over 1.5 goals45.0%
Roda over 1.5 goals51.0%
MVV Maastricht clean sheet18.1%
Roda clean sheet21.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Prediction, preview and head to head: MVV Maastricht vs Roda
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
176012410+1418
27511164+1216
375021911+815
47340189+913
57412139+413
674121015-513
794142217+513
8733175+212
974031717012
1093331416-212
1173131113-210
1273041714+39
1372231312+18
1492251322-98
1562131114-37
1672141216-47
1792161521-67
187205812-46
196114718-114
207115921-124
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles760124101418
2Almere City FC75111641216
3VVV Venlo75021911815
4Waalwijk7340189913
5Vitesse7412139413
6MVV Maastricht74121015-513
7Jong AZ94142217513
8Roda733175212
9Emmen74031717012
10Jong PSV93331416-212
11FC Eindhoven73131113-210
12FC Volendam7304171439
13Helmond Sport7223131218
14Jong Ajax92251322-98
15NAC Breda62131114-37
16Den Bosch72141216-47
17Jong Utrecht92161521-67
18FC OSS7205812-46
19De Graafschap6114718-114
20Dordrecht7115921-124