CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja Prediction - September 6, 2026

Liga NacionalHondurasFull time
CD Marathon
5:0
Estrella Roja
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.33Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.73price rising, opened at 1.50
Draw3.67price falling, opened at 3.82
Away4.55price falling, opened at 5.77

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price rising, opened at 1.25
Under 1.53.50price rising, opened at 3.28
Over 2.51.97price rising, opened at 1.85
Under 2.51.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Over 3.53.13price rising, opened at 3.04
Under 3.51.33price rising, opened at 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes2.02price rising, opened at 1.90
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.78
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.751.88
Away +0.751.93

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CD Marathon are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.5%Projected
  2. 2-08.1%
  3. 1-17.9%Alternative
  4. 3-17.6%
  5. 1-06.7%

Top five combined: 39.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCD MarathonxG2.40
AwayEstrella RojaxG1.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.8%
6.7%
8.1%
6.5%
3.9%
1.9%
1.1%
1
3.3%
7.9%
9.5%
7.6%
4.6%
2.2%
1.3%
2
1.9%
4.6%
5.6%
4.5%
2.7%
1.3%
0.8%
3
0.8%
1.8%
2.2%
1.7%
1.0%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 62.9%37.1% No
Over 1.5 87.2%12.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 69.3%30.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 48.0%52.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

CD Marathon win and over 2.5 goals49.7%
CD Marathon win and both teams score36.4%
Estrella Roja win and over 2.5 goals11.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
CD Marathon or draw82.8%
Estrella Roja or draw35.5%
Either team wins81.7%
Draw no bet: CD Marathon79.0%
Draw no bet: Estrella Roja21.0%
CD Marathon win to nil28.1%
Estrella Roja win to nil6.3%
Team goals
CD Marathon to score90.9%
Estrella Roja to score69.1%
CD Marathon over 1.5 goals69.2%
Estrella Roja over 1.5 goals32.8%
CD Marathon clean sheet30.9%
Estrella Roja clean sheet9.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: CD Marathon vs Estrella Roja
League Table

League Table

Liga NacionalHonduras · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16420113+814
16420156+914
26312107+310
26420113+814
3623154+19
3521275+27
462221112-18
4613256-16
55104412-83
5611447-34
66114414-104
66024412-82
Liga Nacional - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CD Marathon6420113814
1CD Olimpia6420156914W
2CD Motagua6312107310W
2Real Espana6420113814W
3Olancho62315419W
3Génesis52127527W
4Estrella Roja62221112-18L
4Atletico Independiente613256-16
5Juticalpa5104412-83L
5Atlético Choloma611447-34L
6Platense FC6114414-104L
6Lobos Upnfm6024412-82L