Concepción vs A. Italiano Prediction - September 5, 2026

Primera DivisionChileFull time
Concepción
0:1
A. Italiano
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.35Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.20price rising, opened at 1.99
Draw3.20price falling, opened at 3.25
Away3.48price rising, opened at 3.46

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.44price rising, opened at 1.29
Under 1.52.75price falling, opened at 3.20
Over 2.52.27price rising, opened at 1.94
Under 2.51.62price falling, opened at 1.77
Over 3.54.17price rising, opened at 3.30
Under 3.51.22price falling, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.86price rising, opened at 1.78
No1.93price falling, opened at 1.94
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.90price rising, opened at 1.72
Away +0.251.90price falling, opened at 2.00

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Concepción vs A. Italiano?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Concepción are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Concepción and A. Italiano average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.9%Projected
  2. 2-19.7%Alternative
  3. 1-09.3%
  4. 2-08.2%
  5. 1-26.4%

Top five combined: 44.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeConcepciónxG1.78
AwayA. ItalianoxG1.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.2%
9.3%
8.2%
4.9%
2.2%
0.8%
0.3%
1
6.1%
11%
9.7%
5.7%
2.5%
0.9%
0.4%
2
3.6%
6.4%
5.7%
3.4%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
3
1.4%
2.5%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.5%42.5% No
Over 1.5 79.4%20.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.6%43.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.2%65.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Concepción win and over 2.5 goals33.9%
Concepción win and both teams score25.8%
A. Italiano win and over 2.5 goals15.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Concepción or draw74.8%
A. Italiano or draw48.6%
Either team wins76.7%
Draw no bet: Concepción67.1%
Draw no bet: A. Italiano32.9%
Concepción win to nil25.6%
A. Italiano win to nil11.7%
Team goals
Concepción to score83.1%
A. Italiano to score69.2%
Concepción over 1.5 goals53.0%
A. Italiano over 1.5 goals32.9%
Concepción clean sheet30.8%
A. Italiano clean sheet16.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Concepción: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Concepción vs A. Italiano
Head to Head

Head to Head

Concepción vs A. Italiano: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 13, 2026A. Italiano3 - 0Concepción
League Table

League Table

Primera DivisionChile · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12217234721+2653
32211653219+1339
3178363826+1227
42210483330+334
5229673424+1033
6228862728-132
7219394034+630
82293102425-130
9227963435-130
10218582928+129
112283112835-727
12226792531-625
132174102939-1025
13174762530-519
142265111736-1923
152163123139-821
162235141840-2214
Primera Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Colo Colo22172347212653WWWWW
3Universidad de Chile22116532191339WWWDW
3U. Catolica1783638261227LDWWL
4Palestino2210483330334WLWDW
5Everton de Vina2296734241033LDLWD
6Nublense228862728-132WDWDL
7Deportes Limache219394034630LLLLL
8Concepción2293102425-130WWWLW
9Deportes La Serena227963435-130
10Coquimbo Unido218582928129LDWDW
11O'Higgins2283112835-727WLLDL
12A. Italiano226792531-625WLDDW
13Huachipato2174102939-1025LDDLL
13D. La Serena174762530-519LDDLW
14Universidad de Concepcion2265111736-1923LLDDW
15Cobresal2163123139-821WDLLL
16Union La Calera2235141840-2214LDDDL