Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W Prediction - September 5, 2026

FA WSLEnglandFull time
Chelsea W
1:1
Aston Villa W
Projected scoreOur pick
3-1

Alternative:3-0

Match Winner: Home1.21Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.18price rising, opened at 1.17
Draw6.30
Away10.90price falling, opened at 11.70

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.07price falling, opened at 1.10
Under 1.56.50price rising, opened at 5.60
Over 2.51.32price falling, opened at 1.39
Under 2.52.88price rising, opened at 2.59
Over 3.51.88price falling, opened at 2.06
Under 3.51.82price rising, opened at 1.68
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -21.86price falling, opened at 1.92
Away +21.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?

The model's leading scoreline is 3 - 1, with 3-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Chelsea W are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Chelsea W average 2.6 goals per match against 0.6 for Aston Villa W.
  • Chelsea W won 4 of their last 5 matches; Aston Villa W won 0 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 3-18.0%Projected
  2. 3-07.1%Alternative
  3. 2-17.1%
  4. 4-16.8%
  5. 2-06.3%

Top five combined: 35.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeChelsea WxG3.39
AwayAston Villa WxG1.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.1%
3.7%
6.3%
7.1%
6.0%
4.1%
4.2%
1
1.2%
4.2%
7.1%
8.0%
6.8%
4.6%
4.7%
2
0.7%
2.3%
4.0%
4.5%
3.8%
2.6%
2.6%
3
0.3%
0.9%
1.5%
1.7%
1.4%
1.0%
1.0%
4
<0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 65.2%34.8% No
Over 1.5 94.0%6.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 82.8%17.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 66.1%33.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Chelsea W win and over 2.5 goals70.1%
Chelsea W win and both teams score48.7%
Aston Villa W win and over 2.5 goals6.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals5.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Chelsea W or draw91.5%
Aston Villa W or draw19.9%
Either team wins88.6%
Draw no bet: Chelsea W90.4%
Draw no bet: Aston Villa W9.6%
Chelsea W win to nil31.5%
Aston Villa W win to nil2.3%
Team goals
Chelsea W to score96.6%
Aston Villa W to score67.4%
Chelsea W over 1.5 goals85.3%
Aston Villa W over 1.5 goals30.9%
Chelsea W clean sheet32.6%
Aston Villa W clean sheet3.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W
Head to Head

Head to Head

Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 29, 2026Chelsea W4 - 3Aston Villa W
September 14, 2025Aston Villa W1 - 3Chelsea W