Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction - September 4, 2026

I LigaPolandFull time
Nieciecza
2:1
Lechia Gdansk
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.57Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.05price rising, opened at 1.65
Draw3.48price falling, opened at 3.95
Away3.08price falling, opened at 4.16

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13
Under 1.54.65price rising, opened at 4.50
Over 2.51.49price falling, opened at 1.51
Under 2.52.30price rising, opened at 2.26
Over 3.52.25price falling, opened at 2.34
Under 3.51.57price rising, opened at 1.53
Both teams to score
Yes1.45price falling, opened at 1.55
No2.53price rising, opened at 2.27
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.79
Away +0.251.89

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lechia Gdansk are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.5%Projected
  2. 1-18.2%Alternative
  3. 2-07.5%
  4. 3-17.2%
  5. 1-06.5%

Top five combined: 38.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNiecieczaxG2.30
AwayLechia GdanskxG1.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.8%
6.5%
7.5%
5.7%
3.3%
1.5%
0.8%
1
3.6%
8.2%
9.5%
7.2%
4.2%
1.9%
1.1%
2
2.3%
5.2%
6.0%
4.6%
2.6%
1.2%
0.7%
3
1.0%
2.2%
2.5%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 64.7%35.3% No
Over 1.5 87.1%12.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 69.1%30.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 47.8%52.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Nieciecza win and over 2.5 goals46.5%
Nieciecza win and both teams score35.2%
Lechia Gdansk win and over 2.5 goals14.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Nieciecza or draw79.9%
Lechia Gdansk or draw39.6%
Either team wins80.6%
Draw no bet: Nieciecza75.0%
Draw no bet: Lechia Gdansk25.0%
Nieciecza win to nil25.3%
Lechia Gdansk win to nil7.2%
Team goals
Nieciecza to score89.9%
Lechia Gdansk to score71.9%
Nieciecza over 1.5 goals66.9%
Lechia Gdansk over 1.5 goals36.2%
Nieciecza clean sheet28.1%
Lechia Gdansk clean sheet10.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Lechia Gdansk: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk
Head to Head

Head to Head

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 23, 2026Nieciecza3 - 2Lechia Gdansk
November 29, 2025Lechia Gdansk5 - 1Nieciecza
League Table

League Table

I LigaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16411103+713
26330105+512
36321105+511
46312105+510
5631295+410
66312108+210
763031110+19
8622276+18
962226608
1062221113-28
116213910-17
126213711-47
1220204402
13621337-47
14620457-26
1561321215-36
16620459-46
176051810-25
186123412-85
Relegation
I Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Miedz Legnica6411103713WD
2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki6330105512WW
3ŁKS Łódź6321105511WD
4Chrobry Głogów6312105510LW
5Arka Gdynia631295410WW
6Polonia Warszawa6312108210WW
7Warta Poznań6303111019WL
8Pogoń Siedlce62227618LD
9Odra Opole62226608WL
10Stal Mielec62221113-28DW
11Nieciecza6213910-17WW
12Lechia Gdansk6213711-47LL
12Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała20204402
13Ruch Chorzów621337-47LL
14Puszcza Niepołomice620457-26LL
15Polonia Bytom61321215-36LW
16Unia Skierniewice620459-46LL
17Podbeskidzie6051810-25DD
18Stal Rzeszów6123412-85LL