llanelli AFC vs Treowen Stars Prediction - September 4, 2026

FAW ChampionshipWalesFull time
llanelli AFC
0:2
Treowen Stars
Projected scoreOur pick
1-3

Alternative:1-2

Asian Handicap: Away -0.51.92Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.38price rising, opened at 3.00
Draw3.82price falling, opened at 3.84
Away1.84price falling, opened at 1.97

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.11
Under 1.55.50
Over 2.51.37price falling, opened at 1.38
Under 2.52.66price rising, opened at 2.63
Over 3.52.02price falling, opened at 2.06
Under 3.51.69price rising, opened at 1.67
Both teams to score
Yes1.38price rising, opened at 1.37
No2.73price falling, opened at 2.78
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.751.62
Away -0.752.05

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for llanelli AFC vs Treowen Stars?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 3, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Treowen Stars are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Treowen Stars average 2.6 goals per match against 0.8 for llanelli AFC.
  • Treowen Stars won 4 of their last 5 matches; llanelli AFC won 0 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-37.3%Projected
  2. 1-27.1%Alternative
  3. 2-35.7%
  4. 1-45.6%
  5. 2-25.6%

Top five combined: 31.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

Homellanelli AFCxG1.57
AwayTreowen StarsxG3.08
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.0%
1.5%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
1
2.9%
4.6%
3.6%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
2
4.5%
7.1%
5.6%
2.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
3
4.7%
7.3%
5.7%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
3.6%
5.6%
4.4%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
5
2.2%
3.5%
2.7%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
6+
1.9%
3.0%
2.4%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 75.6%24.4% No
Over 1.5 94.6%5.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 84.3%15.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 68.2%31.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

llanelli AFC win and over 2.5 goals14.2%
llanelli AFC win and both teams score13.3%
Treowen Stars win and over 2.5 goals60.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals5.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
llanelli AFC or draw32.2%
Treowen Stars or draw83.1%
Either team wins84.7%
Draw no bet: llanelli AFC20.0%
Draw no bet: Treowen Stars80.0%
llanelli AFC win to nil3.6%
Treowen Stars win to nil19.8%
Team goals
llanelli AFC to score79.2%
Treowen Stars to score95.4%
llanelli AFC over 1.5 goals46.6%
Treowen Stars over 1.5 goals81.2%
llanelli AFC clean sheet4.6%
Treowen Stars clean sheet20.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: llanelli AFC vs Treowen Stars
League Table

League Table

FAW ChampionshipWales · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410185+1313
16501174+1315
25410141+1313
254101610+613
35401165+1112
36411158+713
45401104+612
463121514+110
56321127+511
5631255010
66321119+211
65302139+49
75311107+310
762221211+18
86231129+39
8522143+18
962131113-27
9622298+18
1062131317-47
106213515-107
11511379-24
11521237-47
11100112-10
1261141114-34
12520395+46
136114711-44
13411257-24
146114613-74
14510459-43
156024618-122
155014316-131
164004114-130
165005014-140
Relegation
FAW Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Swansea University54101851313
1Brickfield Rangers65011741315W
2Newtown AFC54101411313W
2Pontypridd Town54101610613
3Aberystwyth Town54011651112
3Bangor City 1876 FC6411158713L
4Bala Town5401104612W
4Carmarthen Town63121514110
5Mold Alexandra6321127511D
5Baglan Dragons631255010
6Porthmadog6321119211W
6Treowen Stars530213949
7Caersws5311107310D
7Trethomas Bluebirds6222121118
8Guilsfield623112939D
8Ynyshir Albions52214318
9Afan Lido62131113-27
9Rhyl62229818D
10Caerau (Ely)62131317-47
10Llanuwchllyn6213515-107L
11Holyhead Hotspur511379-24W
11Caerphilly Athletic521237-47
11Bangor 1876100112-10
12Denbigh Town61141114-34W
12Newport City52039546
13Buckley Town6114711-44L
13Cardiff Draconians411257-24
14Ruthin Town6114613-74L
14Pontardawe Town510459-43
15llanelli AFC6024618-122
15Penrhyncoch5014316-131L
16Llantwit Major4004114-130
16Gresford Athletic5005014-140L