Larne vs Glentoran Prediction - September 4, 2026

PremiershipNorthern-IrelandFull time
Larne
2:1
Glentoran
Projected scoreOur pick
0-0

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.36price falling, opened at 2.38
Draw3.15price falling, opened at 3.20
Away2.71price rising, opened at 2.65

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.33price rising, opened at 1.30
Under 1.52.83price falling, opened at 2.97
Over 2.52.12price rising, opened at 2.04
Under 2.51.64price falling, opened at 1.69
Over 3.53.82price rising, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.19price falling, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.83price rising, opened at 1.79
No1.86price falling, opened at 1.90
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +01.72price falling, opened at 1.75
Away +01.96price rising, opened at 1.93

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Larne vs Glentoran?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Larne are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Larne played a European tie just seven days before this one, and that turnaround underpins Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick in Larne vs Glentoran on 4 September, priced at 1.25 with the model 60 percent confident. Both sides' own scoring rates back a tight, low-event derby.

Larne are averaging just 0.4 goals a game themselves

Larne's own scoring rate of 0.4 goals a game is the lowest number in this match, and their recent form backs it up: two 0-0 draws and a goalless stretch broken only by a 2-0 win in their last five. Glentoran add 1.2 goals a game of their own, for a combined rate of 1.6, comfortably under this line even before the European fatigue factor is added.

Larne have also conceded nine goals in their last two defeats

The two most recent results in Larne's run were a 0-5 and a 0-4, proof their defense can be cut open when it goes wrong. If Glentoran's attack repeats either of those nights while Larne still find a goal at the other end, four or more total goals arrives fast, and that fragile version of Larne is the real risk to this line.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-016.8%Projected
  2. 1-015.2%Alternative
  3. 0-114.8%
  4. 1-113.4%
  5. 2-06.9%

Top five combined: 67.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLarnexG0.90
AwayGlentoranxG0.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
17%
15%
6.9%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
15%
13%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
2
6.5%
5.9%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
1.9%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 34.8%65.2% No
Over 1.5 53.2%46.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 26.5%73.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 10.6%89.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Larne win and over 2.5 goals12.1%
Larne win and both teams score9.4%
Glentoran win and over 2.5 goals11.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals30.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Larne or draw67.1%
Glentoran or draw65.9%
Either team wins66.9%
Draw no bet: Larne50.9%
Draw no bet: Glentoran49.1%
Larne win to nil24.6%
Glentoran win to nil23.7%
Team goals
Larne to score59.5%
Glentoran to score58.5%
Larne over 1.5 goals22.9%
Glentoran over 1.5 goals22.0%
Larne clean sheet41.5%
Glentoran clean sheet40.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Larne vs Glentoran
Head to Head

Head to Head

Larne vs Glentoran: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 17, 2026Glentoran0 - 0Larne
February 10, 2026Larne2 - 2Glentoran
January 13, 2026Glentoran1 - 4Larne
December 12, 2025Larne1 - 0Glentoran
April 26, 2025Larne0 - 0Glentoran
League Table

League Table

PremiershipNorthern-Ireland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431081+710
2430173+49
3430163+39
4430186+29
5430154+19
6420264+26
7420254+16
831024403
910100001
10300316-50
11400428-60
12300309-90
Relegation
Premiership - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Coleraine FC431081710
2Carrick Rangers43017349
3Dungannon Swifts43016339
4Crusaders FC43018629
5Linfield43015419
6Glentoran42026426
7Cliftonville FC42025416
8Ballymena United31024403
9Larne10100001
10Limavady United300316-50
11Portadown400428-60
12Bangor300309-90