İstanbul Başakşehir vs Galatasaray Prediction - September 4, 2026

Super LigTurkeyFull time
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:3
Galatasaray
Projected scoreOur pick
0-0

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.66Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home4.66price rising, opened at 4.52
Draw4.36price rising, opened at 4.16
Away1.64price falling, opened at 1.69

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.09price falling, opened at 1.12
Under 1.55.25price rising, opened at 4.75
Over 2.51.40price falling, opened at 1.47
Under 2.52.57price rising, opened at 2.38
Over 3.52.12price falling, opened at 2.29
Under 3.51.73price rising, opened at 1.63
Both teams to score
Yes1.47price falling, opened at 1.52
No2.50price rising, opened at 2.37
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +11.78
Away -11.97

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Galatasaray?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 0, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Galatasaray are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

A goalless 0-0 is Superior's projected scoreline for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Galatasaray on 4 September, with 0-1 rated the next most likely result. Başakşehir go into the match on four days' rest, recovery time that lines up with a defense that has looked tighter of late than Galatasaray's own free-scoring numbers might suggest.

Başakşehir have had four days to recover before this one

With four days' rest behind them, Başakşehir's available recent form shows a 2-0 win and a 1-1 draw either side of a single 1-2 defeat, hardly a side conceding for fun. Galatasaray's own scoring has been productive at 2.6 goals a game, but their last five have also produced two draws worth five goals between them (2-2 and 3-3), a defense that has not been as tight as their attack has been sharp.

Galatasaray have not kept a clean sheet in their own last five

Every one of Galatasaray's last five matches has featured goals at both ends, including that 3-3 and a 1-2 loss. If that pattern holds instead of Başakşehir's tighter recent form, the scoreline model has flagged, 0-1, undersells how open this could get, and a repeat of one of Galatasaray's own high-event matches is the clearest way the projected scoreline misses.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-014.5%Projected
  2. 0-114.1%Alternative
  3. 1-013.9%
  4. 1-113.5%
  5. 0-26.9%

Top five combined: 62.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

Homeİstanbul BaşakşehirxG0.96
AwayGalatasarayxG0.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15%
14%
6.7%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
14%
14%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
2
6.9%
6.6%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
2.2%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 38.3%61.7% No
Over 1.5 57.5%42.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 30.5%69.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 13.1%86.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

İstanbul Başakşehir win and over 2.5 goals13.3%
İstanbul Başakşehir win and both teams score10.6%
Galatasaray win and over 2.5 goals13.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals28.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
İstanbul Başakşehir or draw65.4%
Galatasaray or draw66.1%
Either team wins68.5%
Draw no bet: İstanbul Başakşehir49.5%
Draw no bet: Galatasaray50.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir win to nil23.3%
Galatasaray win to nil23.8%
Team goals
İstanbul Başakşehir to score61.7%
Galatasaray to score62.2%
İstanbul Başakşehir over 1.5 goals24.9%
Galatasaray over 1.5 goals25.4%
İstanbul Başakşehir clean sheet37.8%
Galatasaray clean sheet38.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Galatasaray: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
League Table

League Table

Super LigTurkey · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1321094+57
200000000
2321042+27
3320173+46
300000000
4320174+36
5320153+26
6320143+16
732013306
8312032+15
800000000
900000000
9311143+14
1031115504
1100000000
1131114404
1231113304
1331113304
14310223-13
15301257-21
16301249-51
17301218-71
18300337-40
Super Lig - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Galatasaray32109457
2Erzurumspor FK00000000
2Genclerbirligi32104227
3Beşiktaş32017346
3Başakşehir00000000
4Fenerbahçe32017436
5Amed32015326
6Kocaelispor32014316
7Rizespor32013306
8Kasımpaşa31203215
8Çorum FK00000000
9Gaziantep FK00000000
9İstanbul Başakşehir31114314
10Samsunspor31115504
11Gençlerbirliği S.K.00000000
11Trabzonspor31114404
12Alanyaspor31113304
13Gazişehir Gaziantep31113304
14Eyüpspor310223-13
15Göztepe301257-21
16Yeni Çorumspor301249-51
17Erzurum BB301218-71
18Konyaspor300337-40