GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC Prediction - September 4, 2026

Premier LeagueWalesFull time
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1:1
Haverfordwest County AFC
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Over 1.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.24price falling, opened at 1.38
Draw5.30price rising, opened at 4.33
Away9.55price rising, opened at 6.91

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18price rising, opened at 1.15
Under 1.53.84price falling, opened at 4.20
Over 2.51.70price rising, opened at 1.61
Under 2.52.03price falling, opened at 2.17
Over 3.52.74price rising, opened at 2.46
Under 3.51.35price falling, opened at 1.43
Both teams to score
Yes2.15price rising, opened at 1.79
No1.61price falling, opened at 1.90
Odd/Even
Odd1.80price falling, opened at 1.84
Even1.86price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -1.51.84
Away +1.51.83

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: GAP Connah S Quay FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • GAP Connah S Quay FC and Haverfordwest County AFC average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-013.3%Projected
  2. 3-011.5%
  3. 1-010.4%
  4. 2-18.5%
  5. 4-07.4%

Top five combined: 51.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGAP Connah S Quay FCxG2.58
AwayHaverfordwest County AFCxG0.64
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.0%
10%
13%
11%
7.4%
3.8%
2.5%
1
2.6%
6.6%
8.5%
7.3%
4.7%
2.4%
1.6%
2
0.8%
2.1%
2.7%
2.3%
1.5%
0.8%
0.5%
3
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 43.5%56.5% No
Over 1.5 83.1%16.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 62.3%37.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 40.1%59.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

GAP Connah S Quay FC win and over 2.5 goals55.4%
GAP Connah S Quay FC win and both teams score30.3%
Haverfordwest County AFC win and over 2.5 goals3.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw93.0%
Haverfordwest County AFC or draw20.9%
Either team wins86.1%
Draw no bet: GAP Connah S Quay FC91.9%
Draw no bet: Haverfordwest County AFC8.1%
GAP Connah S Quay FC win to nil48.9%
Haverfordwest County AFC win to nil3.6%
Team goals
GAP Connah S Quay FC to score92.4%
Haverfordwest County AFC to score47.1%
GAP Connah S Quay FC over 1.5 goals72.8%
Haverfordwest County AFC over 1.5 goals13.4%
GAP Connah S Quay FC clean sheet52.9%
Haverfordwest County AFC clean sheet7.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC
Head to Head

Head to Head

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
October 25, 2025GAP Connah S Quay FC3 - 3Haverfordwest County AFC
September 20, 2025Haverfordwest County AFC1 - 3GAP Connah S Quay FC
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueWales · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16600177+1018
26510163+1316
36501174+1315
46402167+912
56402159+612
66402137+612
76330105+512
86312810-210
96303119+29
1062228808
116213510-57
126105212-103
136024414-102
146015611-51
156015217-151
166006926-170
Europa LeagueRelegation
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barry Town66001771018W
2The New Saints65101631316D
3GAP Connah S Quay FC65011741315L
4Cardiff MET6402167912W
5Caernarfon Town6402159612W
6Llandudno6402137612W
7Penybont6330105512D
8Colwyn Bay6312810-210W
9Airbus UK630311929W
10Cambrian & Clydach62228808L
11Briton Ferry6213510-57W
12Haverfordwest County AFC6105212-103L
13Ammanford AFC6024414-102L
14Flint Town United6015611-51L
15Trefelin6015217-151L
16Holywell6006926-170L