Fiorentino vs Virtus Prediction - September 4, 2026

CampionatoSan-MarinoFull time
Fiorentino
0:1
Virtus
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.22Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home8.70price falling, opened at 11.30
Draw4.25price falling, opened at 5.00
Away1.33price rising, opened at 1.23

Market move since Sep 4. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20price rising, opened at 1.14
Under 1.53.68price falling, opened at 4.40
Over 2.51.75price rising, opened at 1.57
Under 2.51.94price falling, opened at 2.23
Over 3.52.81price rising, opened at 2.35
Under 3.51.33price falling, opened at 1.47
Both teams to score
Yes2.01
No1.69
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.79
Handicap
Home +1.251.84
Away -1.251.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Fiorentino vs Virtus?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Virtus are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Fiorentino and Virtus average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-19.7%Projected
  2. 1-29.3%Alternative
  3. 0-16.9%
  4. 2-16.8%
  5. 0-26.6%

Top five combined: 39.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFiorentinoxG1.41
AwayVirtusxG1.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.6%
5.0%
3.6%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
1
6.9%
9.7%
6.8%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.6%
9.3%
6.6%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
3
4.2%
5.9%
4.2%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
2.0%
2.9%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.3%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 64.6%35.4% No
Over 1.5 84.5%15.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 64.7%35.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 42.7%57.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Fiorentino win and over 2.5 goals19.8%
Fiorentino win and both teams score17.3%
Virtus win and over 2.5 goals36.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals13.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Fiorentino or draw50.6%
Virtus or draw71.6%
Either team wins77.8%
Draw no bet: Fiorentino36.5%
Draw no bet: Virtus63.5%
Fiorentino win to nil11.1%
Virtus win to nil20.8%
Team goals
Fiorentino to score75.7%
Virtus to score85.3%
Fiorentino over 1.5 goals41.3%
Virtus over 1.5 goals57.1%
Fiorentino clean sheet14.7%
Virtus clean sheet24.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Fiorentino vs Virtus
Head to Head

Head to Head

Fiorentino vs Virtus: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 15, 2026Virtus3 - 0Fiorentino
October 18, 2025Fiorentino0 - 4Virtus
League Table

League Table

CampionatoSan-Marino · 2025/2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13022716313+5073
23022627620+5672
33021727118+5370
430171126425+3957
53016956733+3457
63014795936+2349
730144123742-546
830119103023+742
930910113638-237
103098133263-3135
113088142953-2432
1230710132443-1931
133064202255-3322
143037202360-3716
153025232371-4811
163014252083-63-2
Champions League
Campionato - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Tre Fiori30227163135073DWWWD
2Virtus30226276205672WLWWD
3Tre Penne30217271185370WLDDD
4La Fiorita301711264253957LWDLW
5Folgore30169567333457LWWWD
6Domagnano30147959362349LWLWL
7Fiorentino30144123742-546WLLWL
8Cosmos30119103023742DDWWL
9Juvenes / Dogana30910113638-237LDDWD
10Libertas3098133263-3135DLLLW
11Pennarossa3088142953-2432LDDWW
12San Giovanni30710132443-1931LLWLW
13Faetano3064202255-3322LLWLL
14San Marino Academy3037202360-3716DLLLD
15Cailungo3025232371-4811DLLLL
16Murata3014252083-63-2LLLLL