Real Estelí vs San Marcos Prediction - September 3, 2026

Primera DivisionNicaraguaFull time
Real Estelí
2:0
San Marcos
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-0

Match Winner: Home1.24Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.16price falling, opened at 1.20
Draw7.91price rising, opened at 6.13
Away12.70price falling, opened at 14.40

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15price rising, opened at 1.12
Under 1.55.00
Over 2.51.45price falling, opened at 1.49
Under 2.52.63price rising, opened at 2.30
Over 3.52.13price falling, opened at 2.25
Under 3.51.67price rising, opened at 1.61
Both teams to score
Yes2.63price rising, opened at 2.09
No1.45price falling, opened at 1.63
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.78
Handicap
Home -2.251.93
Away +2.251.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Real Estelí vs San Marcos?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Real Estelí average 1.4 goals per match against 0.6 for San Marcos.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-013.7%Projected
  2. 1-013.0%Alternative
  3. 3-09.7%
  4. 2-19.3%
  5. 1-18.8%

Top five combined: 54.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeReal EstelíxG2.11
AwaySan MarcosxG0.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.1%
13%
14%
9.7%
5.1%
2.2%
1.1%
1
4.1%
8.8%
9.3%
6.5%
3.5%
1.5%
0.7%
2
1.4%
3.0%
3.1%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
3
0.3%
0.7%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 43.2%56.8% No
Over 1.5 76.7%23.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.8%47.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.6%69.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Real Estelí win and over 2.5 goals44.1%
Real Estelí win and both teams score26.0%
San Marcos win and over 2.5 goals5.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Real Estelí or draw89.4%
San Marcos or draw29.2%
Either team wins81.4%
Draw no bet: Real Estelí86.9%
Draw no bet: San Marcos13.1%
Real Estelí win to nil44.7%
San Marcos win to nil5.9%
Team goals
Real Estelí to score87.9%
San Marcos to score49.1%
Real Estelí over 1.5 goals62.4%
San Marcos over 1.5 goals14.7%
Real Estelí clean sheet50.9%
San Marcos clean sheet12.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

More Primera Division Predictions

51%
Managua
Diriangén
Goals Over/Under: Over 1.5 @ 1.22
View All Predictions
Prediction, preview and head to head: Real Estelí vs San Marcos
League Table

League Table

Primera DivisionNicaragua · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Managua
6600203+1718
2
Real Estelí
7511154+1116
3
Diriangén
6420114+714
4
UNAN Managua
742185+314
5
H&H Export
7322813-511
6
San Marcos
8224611-58
7
Walter Ferretti
82151013-37
8
Matagalpa
7205313-106
9
Rancho Santana
8116613-74
10
Jalapa
8116311-84
Primera Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Managua66002031718WWW
2Real Estelí75111541116WWD
3Diriangén6420114714DWD
4UNAN Managua742185314DWD
5H&H Export7322813-511WDW
6San Marcos8224611-58LDD
7Walter Ferretti82151013-37WLL
8Matagalpa7205313-106LLL
9Rancho Santana8116613-74LLL
10Jalapa8116311-84LLW

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