Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Prediction - September 3, 2026

EkstraklasaPolandFull time
Lech Poznan
2:1
Jagiellonia
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.63price rising, opened at 1.62
Draw4.20price falling, opened at 4.25
Away4.51price falling, opened at 4.55

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.07price falling, opened at 1.08
Under 1.55.80price rising, opened at 5.40
Over 2.51.37price falling, opened at 1.41
Under 2.52.66price rising, opened at 2.52
Over 3.52.04price falling, opened at 2.16
Under 3.51.74price rising, opened at 1.66
Both teams to score
Yes1.44price falling, opened at 1.49
No2.60price rising, opened at 2.44
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -0.751.73price rising, opened at 1.72
Away +0.751.93price falling, opened at 1.94

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lech Poznan are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings ended level.
  • Lech Poznan average 3.8 goals per match against 2.6 for Jagiellonia.
  • Lech Poznan won 4 of their last 5 matches; Jagiellonia won 3 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-17.5%Projected
  2. 3-16.8%
  3. 2-26.4%Alternative
  4. 3-25.8%
  5. 1-15.5%

Top five combined: 32.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLech PoznanxG2.72
AwayJagielloniaxG1.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.2%
3.2%
4.4%
4.0%
2.7%
1.5%
1.1%
1
2.0%
5.5%
7.5%
6.8%
4.6%
2.5%
1.8%
2
1.7%
4.7%
6.4%
5.8%
4.0%
2.2%
1.6%
3
1.0%
2.7%
3.7%
3.3%
2.3%
1.2%
0.9%
4
0.4%
1.2%
1.6%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.4%
5
0.1%
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 76.6%23.4% No
Over 1.5 93.6%6.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 81.9%18.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 64.7%35.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lech Poznan win and over 2.5 goals51.6%
Lech Poznan win and both teams score42.3%
Jagiellonia win and over 2.5 goals19.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals6.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lech Poznan or draw76.9%
Jagiellonia or draw40.8%
Either team wins82.4%
Draw no bet: Lech Poznan71.9%
Draw no bet: Jagiellonia28.1%
Lech Poznan win to nil16.9%
Jagiellonia win to nil5.4%
Team goals
Lech Poznan to score93.4%
Jagiellonia to score82.0%
Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals75.6%
Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals51.1%
Lech Poznan clean sheet18.0%
Jagiellonia clean sheet6.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Lech Poznan: 4-4-2(predicted)Jagiellonia: 4-3-3(predicted)
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 4, 2026Jagiellonia0 - 0Lech Poznan
September 28, 2025Lech Poznan2 - 2Jagiellonia
March 16, 2025Jagiellonia2 - 1Lech Poznan
League Table

League Table

EkstraklasaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16330124+812
2431083+510
363121210+210
45302126+69
5430196+39
6430185+39
7522174+38
8522164+28
9522154+18
10622267-18
1162131013-37
126213613-77
136132101006
14613289-16
156123610-45
165113310-74
175104812-43
184004511-60
Relegation
Ekstraklasa - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Legia Warszawa6330124812WW
2Lech Poznan431083510WD
3Wisla Krakow63121210210LW
4GKS Katowice530212669WL
5Gornik Zabrze43019639W
6Jagiellonia43018539WW
7Pogon Szczecin52217438WL
8Korona Kielce52216428L
9Zaglebie Lubin52215418LW
10Cracovia Krakow622267-18LD
11Piast Gliwice62131013-37WL
12Radomiak Radom6213613-77LW
13Widzew Łódź6132101006DD
14Slask Wroclaw613289-16WL
15Motor Lublin6123610-45LD
16Wisla Plock5113310-74DW
17Wieczysta Kraków5104812-43LL
18Raków Częstochowa4004511-60LL