Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis Prediction - September 23, 2026

Emperor’s CupJapanFull time
Gamba Osaka
5:0
Tokushima Vortis
Correct scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.24Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.50price falling, opened at 1.55
Draw4.37price falling, opened at 4.56
Away5.72price rising, opened at 5.20

Market move since Sep 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price falling, opened at 1.24
Under 1.54.33price rising, opened at 3.80
Over 2.51.69price falling, opened at 1.80
Under 2.52.10price rising, opened at 2.00
Over 3.52.65price falling, opened at 2.90
Under 3.51.45price rising, opened at 1.37
Both teams to score
Yes1.80price falling, opened at 1.84
No1.95price rising, opened at 1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price falling, opened at 1.90
Even1.87price falling, opened at 1.90
Handicap
Home -1.252.03
Away +1.251.78

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Tokushima Vortis are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Gamba Osaka and Tokushima Vortis average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-09.6%Our score
  2. 2-111.0%Alternative
  3. 1-010.4%
  4. 1-17.9%
  5. 3-16.6%

Top five combined: 45.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGamba OsakaxG2.10
AwayTokushima VortisxG0.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.0%
10%
9.6%
6.3%
3.2%
1.3%
0.6%
1
5.9%
7.9%
11%
6.6%
2.9%
1.2%
0.6%
2
3.2%
5.9%
3.8%
3.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.3%
3
1.3%
2.0%
1.9%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.4%46.6% No
Over 1.5 79.6%20.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.9%41.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.4%65.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Gamba Osaka win and over 2.5 goals40.1%
Gamba Osaka win and both teams score28.7%
Tokushima Vortis win and over 2.5 goals13.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Gamba Osaka or draw76.9%
Tokushima Vortis or draw39.9%
Either team wins83.2%
Draw no bet: Gamba Osaka72.3%
Draw no bet: Tokushima Vortis27.7%
Gamba Osaka win to nil31.4%
Tokushima Vortis win to nil11.2%
Team goals
Gamba Osaka to score84.8%
Tokushima Vortis to score64.5%
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 goals57.6%
Tokushima Vortis over 1.5 goals28.6%
Gamba Osaka clean sheet35.5%
Tokushima Vortis clean sheet15.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Won

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Gamba Osaka: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis