Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town Prediction - September 22, 2026

EFL TrophyEnglandFull time
Milton Keynes Dons
4:1
Crawley Town
Correct scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-0

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.27price falling, opened at 1.62
Draw5.30price rising, opened at 4.05
Away8.10price rising, opened at 4.25

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals
Over 1.51.03price falling, opened at 1.07
Under 1.57.50price rising, opened at 5.90
Over 2.51.25price falling, opened at 1.36
Under 2.53.28price rising, opened at 2.70
Over 3.51.72price falling, opened at 1.99
Under 3.52.00price rising, opened at 1.73
Both teams to score
Yes1.49price rising, opened at 1.41
No2.42price falling, opened at 2.65
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -1.51.76
Away +1.51.92

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Milton Keynes Dons are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Milton Keynes Dons average 1.8 goals per match against 1.0 for Crawley Town.
  • Milton Keynes Dons won 1 of their last 5 matches; Crawley Town won 0 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-110.2%Our score
  2. 1-08.7%Alternative
  3. 2-08.1%
  4. 1-17.7%
  5. 3-16.6%

Top five combined: 41.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMilton Keynes DonsxG1.93
AwayCrawley TownxG1.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.2%
8.7%
8.1%
5.5%
3.0%
1.4%
0.6%
1
5.2%
7.7%
10%
6.6%
3.2%
1.4%
0.6%
2
3.3%
6.2%
4.5%
4.2%
1.9%
0.8%
0.3%
3
1.5%
2.5%
2.4%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 58.6%41.4% No
Over 1.5 82.9%17.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 63.8%36.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 40.3%59.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Milton Keynes Dons win and over 2.5 goals41.2%
Milton Keynes Dons win and both teams score30.6%
Crawley Town win and over 2.5 goals16.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Milton Keynes Dons or draw75.0%
Crawley Town or draw42.0%
Either team wins83.0%
Draw no bet: Milton Keynes Dons69.9%
Draw no bet: Crawley Town30.1%
Milton Keynes Dons win to nil27.4%
Crawley Town win to nil10.8%
Team goals
Milton Keynes Dons to score86.0%
Crawley Town to score69.4%
Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals59.6%
Crawley Town over 1.5 goals34.5%
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet30.6%
Crawley Town clean sheet14.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Milton Keynes Dons: 3-1-4-2(confirmed lineup)Crawley Town: 4-4-2(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town
Head to Head

Head to Head

Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 0
Crawley Town
February 17, 2026
Crawley Town
1 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
August 19, 2025
Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 17, 2026Milton Keynes Dons0 - 0Crawley Town
August 19, 2025Crawley Town1 - 1Milton Keynes Dons