Burton Albion vs Nottingham Forest U21 Prediction - September 22, 2026

EFL TrophyEnglandPEN
Burton Albion
3:4Pens
AET 1-1
Nottingham Forest U21
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:2-0

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.48price falling, opened at 1.62
Draw4.25price rising, opened at 4.05
Away5.32price rising, opened at 4.26

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.07
Under 1.55.90
Over 2.51.36
Under 2.52.70
Over 3.51.99
Under 3.51.73
Both teams to score
Yes1.47price rising, opened at 1.42
No2.47price falling, opened at 2.62
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -11.79
Away +11.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Nottingham Forest U21?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Nottingham Forest U21 are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Burton Albion average 1.8 goals per match against 1.6 for Nottingham Forest U21.
  • Counter signalNottingham Forest U21 won 3 of their last 5 matches; Burton Albion won 1 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-012.0%Our score
  2. 2-010.6%Alternative
  3. 2-110.1%
  4. 1-19.5%
  5. 0-16.1%

Top five combined: 48.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBurton AlbionxG1.79
AwayNottingham Forest U21xG0.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.0%
12%
11%
6.1%
2.6%
1.0%
0.4%
1
6.1%
9.5%
10%
5.7%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
2
3.1%
5.6%
4.0%
2.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.3%
2.0%
1.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.0%50.0% No
Over 1.5 75.9%24.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.7%47.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.6%70.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Burton Albion win and over 2.5 goals34.6%
Burton Albion win and both teams score24.4%
Nottingham Forest U21 win and over 2.5 goals13.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Burton Albion or draw77.5%
Nottingham Forest U21 or draw42.9%
Either team wins79.6%
Draw no bet: Burton Albion71.7%
Draw no bet: Nottingham Forest U2128.3%
Burton Albion win to nil32.7%
Nottingham Forest U21 win to nil11.3%
Team goals
Burton Albion to score82.7%
Nottingham Forest U21 to score61.3%
Burton Albion over 1.5 goals52.7%
Nottingham Forest U21 over 1.5 goals26.3%
Burton Albion clean sheet38.7%
Nottingham Forest U21 clean sheet17.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Burton Albion vs Nottingham Forest U21

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