Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens Prediction - September 20, 2026

Premier LeagueJamaicaFull time
Treasure Beach
1:1
Tivoli Gardens
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.02price rising, opened at 2.66
Draw3.04price falling, opened at 3.24
Away2.23price falling, opened at 2.29

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price rising, opened at 1.27
Under 1.53.08price falling, opened at 3.14
Over 2.51.94price rising, opened at 1.93
Under 2.51.74price falling, opened at 1.75
Over 3.53.28price falling, opened at 3.34
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.24
Both teams to score
Yes1.72price falling, opened at 1.73
No1.96price rising, opened at 1.95
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.77price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.251.74
Away -0.251.89

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Treasure Beach and Tivoli Gardens average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.0%Our score
  2. 0-110.6%Alternative
  3. 1-09.5%
  4. 0-08.6%
  5. 1-28.6%

Top five combined: 50.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTreasure BeachxG1.25
AwayTivoli GardensxG1.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.6%
9.5%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
11%
13%
7.9%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
6.5%
8.6%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
3.0%
3.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.6%48.4% No
Over 1.5 71.2%28.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.1%53.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.4%75.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Treasure Beach win and over 2.5 goals18.2%
Treasure Beach win and both teams score15.1%
Tivoli Gardens win and over 2.5 goals21.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Treasure Beach or draw61.1%
Tivoli Gardens or draw66.7%
Either team wins72.1%
Draw no bet: Treasure Beach46.1%
Draw no bet: Tivoli Gardens53.9%
Treasure Beach win to nil18.2%
Tivoli Gardens win to nil21.6%
Team goals
Treasure Beach to score69.7%
Tivoli Gardens to score73.2%
Treasure Beach over 1.5 goals33.5%
Tivoli Gardens over 1.5 goals37.6%
Treasure Beach clean sheet26.8%
Tivoli Gardens clean sheet30.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens
Head to Head

Head to Head

Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 1, 2026Treasure Beach4 - 2Tivoli Gardens
January 28, 2026Tivoli Gardens0 - 0Treasure Beach
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueJamaica · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1220042+26
2211040+44
3211041+34
4211020+24
5110021+13
621014403
7210123-13
8201134-11
900000000
1000000000
11100123-10
12100112-10
13100103-30
14200205-50
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Racing United22004226
2Tru-juice21104044
3Tivoli Gardens21104134
4Montego Bay United21102024
5Cavalier11002113
6Molynes United21014403
7Chapelton210123-13
8Treasure Beach201134-11
9Portmore United00000000
10Waterhouse00000000
11Arnett Gardens100123-10
12Dunbeholden100112-10
13Humble Lions100103-30
14Mount Pleasant Academy200205-50