Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction - September 20, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Machida Zelvia
2:4
Kashiwa Reysol
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.33Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.58price falling, opened at 2.60
Draw3.36
Away2.71price rising, opened at 2.70

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26
Under 1.53.20
Over 2.51.95
Under 2.51.85
Over 3.53.20
Under 3.51.26
Both teams to score
Yes1.71
No2.02
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +01.86
Away +01.95price rising, opened at 1.94

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Machida Zelvia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-010.8%Our score
  2. 1-111.5%Alternative
  3. 2-110.2%
  4. 2-09.5%
  5. 0-06.3%

Top five combined: 48.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMachida ZelviaxG1.77
AwayKashiwa ReysolxG1.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.3%
11%
9.5%
5.5%
2.5%
0.9%
0.4%
1
6.1%
11%
10%
5.7%
2.5%
0.8%
0.3%
2
3.1%
5.9%
5.0%
3.1%
1.2%
0.4%
0.2%
3
1.1%
1.8%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.5%46.5% No
Over 1.5 76.8%23.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.7%47.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.0%70.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Machida Zelvia win and over 2.5 goals34.3%
Machida Zelvia win and both teams score25.1%
Kashiwa Reysol win and over 2.5 goals12.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Machida Zelvia or draw78.5%
Kashiwa Reysol or draw45.3%
Either team wins76.2%
Draw no bet: Machida Zelvia71.8%
Draw no bet: Kashiwa Reysol28.2%
Machida Zelvia win to nil29.6%
Kashiwa Reysol win to nil10.7%
Team goals
Machida Zelvia to score83.0%
Kashiwa Reysol to score64.2%
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 goals52.4%
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 goals27.0%
Machida Zelvia clean sheet35.8%
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet17.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Machida Zelvia: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)Kashiwa Reysol: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol
Head to Head

Head to Head

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 11, 2026Machida Zelvia1 - 0Kashiwa Reysol
March 14, 2026Kashiwa Reysol0 - 1Machida Zelvia
December 6, 2025Kashiwa Reysol1 - 0Machida Zelvia
May 17, 2025Machida Zelvia3 - 0Kashiwa Reysol
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17520196+1317
27511115+616
375021310+315
47421196+1314
57421138+514
67412108+213
77331139+412
874031413+112
97322119+211
107313611-510
117232119+29
1273041317-49
13721447-37
147214914-57
157133813-56
167205713-66
177124914-55
187115911-24
19704339-64
207115616-104
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Machida Zelvia75201961317
2Vissel Kobe7511115616
3Kashiwa Reysol75021310315
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima74211961314
5FC Tokyo7421138514
6Fagiano Okayama7412108213
7Kawasaki Frontale7331139412
8Kashima74031413112
9Yokohama F. Marinos7322119211
10Cerezo Osaka7313611-510
11Mito Hollyhock723211929
12Urawa73041317-49
13Shimizu S-pulse721447-37
14V-varen Nagasaki7214914-57
15Gamba Osaka7133813-56
16Nagoya Grampus7205713-66
17Kyoto Sanga7124914-55
18Avispa Fukuoka7115911-24
19Tokyo Verdy704339-64
20JEF United Chiba7115616-104