Lokomotiv vs Neftchi Prediction - September 20, 2026

Super LeagueUzbekistanFull time
Lokomotiv
0:1
Neftchi
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.40Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.49price rising, opened at 3.40
Draw3.67price rising, opened at 3.62
Away1.96price falling, opened at 2.00

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20
Under 1.53.77price falling, opened at 3.81
Over 2.51.73price rising, opened at 1.72
Under 2.52.03price falling, opened at 2.05
Over 3.52.70
Under 3.51.39
Both teams to score
Yes1.59
No2.17
Odd/Even
Odd1.84price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.251.95price falling, opened at 2.04
Away -0.251.75price rising, opened at 1.72

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Neftchi?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Neftchi are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Lokomotiv and Neftchi average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.9%Our score
  2. 0-111.6%Alternative
  3. 1-010.4%
  4. 0-010.1%
  5. 1-28.1%

Top five combined: 54.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLokomotivxG1.13
AwayNeftchixG1.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
10%
10%
5.8%
2.1%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
12%
14%
7.6%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
6.6%
8.1%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
2.8%
3.2%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.9%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.5%51.5% No
Over 1.5 67.8%32.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 41.6%58.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 21.0%79.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lokomotiv win and over 2.5 goals16.8%
Lokomotiv win and both teams score13.9%
Neftchi win and over 2.5 goals19.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lokomotiv or draw62.3%
Neftchi or draw67.0%
Either team wins70.8%
Draw no bet: Lokomotiv46.7%
Draw no bet: Neftchi53.3%
Lokomotiv win to nil19.2%
Neftchi win to nil22.2%
Team goals
Lokomotiv to score67.7%
Neftchi to score70.7%
Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals30.8%
Neftchi over 1.5 goals34.0%
Lokomotiv clean sheet29.3%
Neftchi clean sheet32.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Prediction, preview and head to head: Lokomotiv vs Neftchi
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lokomotiv vs Neftchi: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 20, 2026Neftchi3 - 1Lokomotiv
League Table

League Table

Super LeagueUzbekistan · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12216335017+3351
22214713920+1949
32213543921+1844
42210573129+235
52210573628+835
6229763321+1234
72210483229+334
82293102728-130
9228683334-130
102284103843-528
112182112029-926
122275101928-926
132271142236-1422
142156101729-1221
152248101930-1120
162211201144-334
Champions LeagueRelegation
Super League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Neftchi22163350173351DDWWD
2Pakhtakor22147139201949DWWDD
3Navbahor22135439211844WDDLD
4Olmaliq2210573129235LWWWD
5Lokomotiv2210573628835LWDDW
6Nasaf2297633211234WWDWD
7Buxoro2210483229334WLWLW
8Andijan2293102728-130DWDLW
9Dinamo Samarqand228683334-130DWWWW
10Sogdiana2284103843-528WLLWL
11Qizilqum2182112029-926LDLLD
12Surkhon2275101928-926WLLWD
13Bunyodkor2271142236-1422LLLLW
14Xorazm2156101729-1221LWLLL
15Kokand-19122248101930-1120LLLLW
16Mash'al2211201144-334LLDWL