Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United Prediction - September 20, 2026

Thai League 1ThailandFull time
Bangkok United
3:2
BG Pathum United
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.37Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.91price rising, opened at 1.90
Draw3.13price falling, opened at 3.15
Away3.77

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20
Under 1.53.70
Over 2.51.75
Under 2.51.93
Over 3.52.74price falling, opened at 2.78
Under 3.51.35price rising, opened at 1.34
Both teams to score
Yes1.62
No2.12
Odd/Even
Odd1.92price rising, opened at 1.91
Even1.73price falling, opened at 1.74
Handicap
Home -0.251.66price rising, opened at 1.65
Away +0.252.04price falling, opened at 2.05

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Bangkok United are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.6%Our score
  2. 0-110.9%Alternative
  3. 1-010.8%
  4. 0-09.9%
  5. 1-27.9%

Top five combined: 53.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBangkok UnitedxG1.12
AwayBG Pathum UnitedxG1.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.9%
11%
6.2%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
11%
14%
7.7%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
6.3%
7.9%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
2.6%
3.1%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.8%51.2% No
Over 1.5 68.4%31.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 42.4%57.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 21.8%78.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Bangkok United win and over 2.5 goals17.7%
Bangkok United win and both teams score14.3%
BG Pathum United win and over 2.5 goals18.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Bangkok United or draw63.9%
BG Pathum United or draw65.3%
Either team wins70.8%
Draw no bet: Bangkok United49.0%
Draw no bet: BG Pathum United51.0%
Bangkok United win to nil20.4%
BG Pathum United win to nil20.9%
Team goals
Bangkok United to score69.2%
BG Pathum United to score69.7%
Bangkok United over 1.5 goals32.6%
BG Pathum United over 1.5 goals33.6%
Bangkok United clean sheet30.3%
BG Pathum United clean sheet30.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United
Head to Head

Head to Head

Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
January 18, 2026Bangkok Glass0 - 1Bangkok United
August 30, 2025Bangkok United2 - 1Bangkok Glass
April 19, 2025Bangkok United3 - 0Bangkok Glass
League Table

League Table

Thai League 1Thailand · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1320174+36
2220042+26
3220042+26
4320143+16
5211042+24
6211032+14
7211021+14
8211021+14
9210132+13
1021012203
1121011103
12301246-21
13301237-41
14200224-20
15200214-30
16200214-30
Champions LeagueRelegation
Thai League 1 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Uthai Thani32017436
2Port FC22004226
3Rayong FC22004226
4Ayutthaya FC32014316
5Buriram United21104224
6BG Pathum United21103214
7Chiangrai United21102114
8Pattani21102114
9Bangkok United21013213
10Ratchaburi21012203
11Prachuap21011103
12Rasi Salai United301246-21
13Lamphun Warrior301237-41
14Chonburi FC200224-20
15Sukhothai FC200214-30
16Sisaket United200214-30