AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid Prediction - September 20, 2026

Segunda DivisionSpainFull time
AD Ceuta FC
1:1
Valladolid
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.34Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.94price rising, opened at 2.65
Draw3.30price falling, opened at 3.34
Away2.44price falling, opened at 2.66

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price rising, opened at 1.24
Under 1.53.14price falling, opened at 3.34
Over 2.52.02price rising, opened at 1.94
Under 2.51.80price falling, opened at 1.86
Over 3.53.34price rising, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.24price falling, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.74price rising, opened at 1.69
No1.98price falling, opened at 2.05
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.81
Handicap
Home +0.251.68
Away -0.251.99

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Valladolid are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Why this prediction

  • AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid average 1.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.2%Our score
  2. 0-110.6%Alternative
  3. 1-09.4%
  4. 1-28.7%
  5. 0-08.3%

Top five combined: 49.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAD Ceuta FCxG1.29
AwayValladolidxG1.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.3%
9.4%
5.7%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
11%
12%
7.6%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
6.9%
8.7%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
3.3%
3.8%
2.2%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.9%49.1% No
Over 1.5 71.6%28.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.9%53.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.0%75.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

AD Ceuta FC win and over 2.5 goals18.3%
AD Ceuta FC win and both teams score14.9%
Valladolid win and over 2.5 goals22.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
AD Ceuta FC or draw60.1%
Valladolid or draw66.6%
Either team wins73.3%
Draw no bet: AD Ceuta FC45.6%
Draw no bet: Valladolid54.4%
AD Ceuta FC win to nil18.5%
Valladolid win to nil22.4%
Team goals
AD Ceuta FC to score69.4%
Valladolid to score73.2%
AD Ceuta FC over 1.5 goals33.6%
Valladolid over 1.5 goals38.6%
AD Ceuta FC clean sheet26.8%
Valladolid clean sheet30.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

AD Ceuta FC: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid
Head to Head

Head to Head

AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
January 17, 2026AD Ceuta FC0 - 3Valladolid
August 15, 2025Valladolid3 - 0AD Ceuta FC
League Table

League Table

Segunda DivisionSpain · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510122+1016
26501124+815
3641182+613
46312128+410
5531176+110
6631254+110
7631278-110
8530284+49
9522141+38
10522186+28
11622287+18
12522165+18
1352214408
1452213308
15521278-17
166204913-46
17612348-45
18511327-54
19603369-33
206105913-43
216015410-61
225005215-130
Relegation
Segunda Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Castellón65101221016
2Eibar6501124815
3Mallorca641182613
4Girona6312128410
5Las Palmas531176110
6Sporting Gijon631254110
7Tenerife631278-110
8Almeria53028449
9Oviedo52214138
10Burgos52218628
11Real Sociedad II62228718
12Granada CF52216518
13Sabadell52214408
14Leganes52213308
15Celta de Vigo II521278-17
16Cordoba6204913-46
17Eldense612348-45
18Valladolid511327-54
19Cadiz603369-33
20Andorra6105913-43
21Albacete6015410-61
22AD Ceuta FC5005215-130