LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.36Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.54

Draw3.87

Away6.16

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.27

Under 1.53.50

Over 2.51.97

Under 2.51.83

Over 3.53.13

Under 3.51.33

Both teams to score

Yes1.93

No1.82

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home -11.96

Away +11.85

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Mushuc Runa SC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 30, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

LDU de Quito have won two of their last three meetings with Mushuc Runa, and that head-to-head edge underpins Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick in LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC on 2 September at 1.36, rated 65 percent. LDU sit fifth with four games left, while Mushuc Runa are fighting relegation in eighth.

LDU have won two of the last three meetings

Across their last three head-to-head games, LDU de Quito won 2-1 at home in August last year and 3-1 away in May this year, either side of a narrow 0-1 defeat at Mushuc Runa. LDU have also won three of their last five overall, including a 1-0 win over Aucas and a 2-0 win over Emelec, while Mushuc Runa have drawn three of their own last five, including successive 0-0 results against Deportivo Cuenca and Barcelona SC.

Mushuc Runa's one win this run came by three goals

The way this line gets beaten is Mushuc Runa repeating their 3-0 win at Tecnico Universitario, the one result in their recent form that broke from a run of tight, low-scoring games. LDU's away form has been shakier than their home form, losing 2-1 at Guayaquil City only days before this game, so if that away vulnerability meets a version of Mushuc Runa capable of scoring three, the total could threaten 3.5 rather than settle beneath it.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

2-19.9%Projected
1-19.6%Alternative
2-09.2%
1-09.0%
3-16.8%

Top five combined: 44.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLDU de QuitoxG2.06

AwayMushuc Runa SCxG1.07

4.4%

9.0%

9.2%

6.4%

3.3%

1.3%

0.6%

4.7%

9.6%

9.9%

6.8%

3.5%

1.4%

0.7%

2.5%

5.2%

5.3%

3.7%

1.9%

0.8%

0.4%

0.9%

1.8%

1.9%

1.3%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.2%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.4%42.6% No

Over 1.5 82.0%18.0% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 60.6%39.4% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 38.3%61.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

LDU de Quito win and over 2.5 goals41.9%

LDU de Quito win and both teams score30.3%

Mushuc Runa SC win and over 2.5 goals11.9%

Draw and under 2.5 goals14.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

LDU de Quito or draw80.9%

Mushuc Runa SC or draw39.9%

Either team wins79.2%

Draw no bet: LDU de Quito75.9%

Draw no bet: Mushuc Runa SC24.1%

LDU de Quito win to nil29.8%

Mushuc Runa SC win to nil8.4%

Team goals

LDU de Quito to score87.3%

Mushuc Runa SC to score65.8%

LDU de Quito over 1.5 goals61.0%

Mushuc Runa SC over 1.5 goals29.1%

LDU de Quito clean sheet34.2%

Mushuc Runa SC clean sheet12.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Team news

Expected formations

LDU de Quito: 5-3-2(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC

Head to Head

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 12, 2026	Mushuc Runa SC	1 - 3	LDU de Quito
August 3, 2025	LDU de Quito	2 - 1	Mushuc Runa SC
April 14, 2025	Mushuc Runa SC	1 - 0	LDU de Quito

League Table

Liga ProEcuador · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	27	22	2	3	66	28	+38	68
2	Macara	28	14	6	8	39	30	+9	48
3	Aucas	27	14	5	8	31	26	+5	47
4	Universidad Catolica	27	12	8	7	47	25	+22	44
5	LDU de Quito	28	12	6	10	27	22	+5	42
6	Barcelona SC	27	10	9	8	28	22	+6	39
7	Mushuc Runa SC	28	9	10	9	33	34	-1	37
9	Guayaquil City FC	27	9	9	9	27	30	-3	36
9	Libertad	23	8	6	9	24	26	-2	30
10	Leones del Norte	27	9	8	10	29	30	-1	35
11	Emelec	27	9	8	10	23	32	-9	32
12	Deportivo Cuenca	27	9	5	13	23	35	-12	32
13	Orense SC	27	8	6	13	31	41	-10	30
14	Tecnico Universitario	28	9	2	17	26	39	-13	29
15	Delfin SC	28	7	6	15	18	29	-11	27
16	Manta FC	28	5	5	18	17	41	-24	20

Relegation

Liga Pro - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	27	22	2	3	66	28	38	68	WWWWW
2	Macara	28	14	6	8	39	30	9	48	WWWLW
3	Aucas	27	14	5	8	31	26	5	47	WLLWL
4	Universidad Catolica	27	12	8	7	47	25	22	44	WDWWW
5	LDU de Quito	28	12	6	10	27	22	5	42	WDLLD
6	Barcelona SC	27	10	9	8	28	22	6	39	DLLWD
7	Mushuc Runa SC	28	9	10	9	33	34	-1	37	WLDWL
9	Guayaquil City FC	27	9	9	9	27	30	-3	36	LDDWD
9	Libertad	23	8	6	9	24	26	-2	30	WWWLW
10	Leones del Norte	27	9	8	10	29	30	-1	35	DWDWD
11	Emelec	27	9	8	10	23	32	-9	32	LLDLW
12	Deportivo Cuenca	27	9	5	13	23	35	-12	32	LWLLD
13	Orense SC	27	8	6	13	31	41	-10	30	LLWLL
14	Tecnico Universitario	28	9	2	17	26	39	-13	29	LWLLL
15	Delfin SC	28	7	6	15	18	29	-11	27	LLWWL
16	Manta FC	28	5	5	18	17	41	-24	20	LLDLL

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction - September 2, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC?

Match highlights

Match analysis

LDU have won two of the last three meetings

Mushuc Runa's one win this run came by three goals

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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More Liga Pro Predictions

Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table

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