Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec Prediction - September 2, 2026

CupPolandPEN
Górnik Łęczna
4:3Pens
AET 3-390' 2-2
Stal Mielec
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.08price rising, opened at 2.93
Draw3.32
Away2.10price falling, opened at 2.18

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13
Under 1.54.55
Over 2.51.54
Under 2.52.29
Over 3.52.26price falling, opened at 2.28
Under 3.51.51price rising, opened at 1.50
Both teams to score
Yes1.45price rising, opened at 1.44
No2.50price falling, opened at 2.52
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.77
Handicap
Home +0.251.85price rising, opened at 1.80
Away -0.251.83price falling, opened at 1.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Górnik Łęczna are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Górnik Łęczna and Stal Mielec average 4.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.5%Projected
  2. 2-18.4%Alternative
  3. 1-28.3%
  4. 1-06.7%
  5. 2-26.6%

Top five combined: 40.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGórnik ŁęcznaxG1.59
AwayStal MielecxG1.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.2%
6.7%
5.3%
2.8%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
1
6.6%
11%
8.4%
4.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
2
5.2%
8.3%
6.6%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.2%
3
2.8%
4.4%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.7%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 63.2%36.8% No
Over 1.5 82.5%17.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 61.4%38.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 39.1%60.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Górnik Łęczna win and over 2.5 goals26.5%
Górnik Łęczna win and both teams score22.0%
Stal Mielec win and over 2.5 goals26.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Górnik Łęczna or draw62.0%
Stal Mielec or draw61.6%
Either team wins76.5%
Draw no bet: Górnik Łęczna50.3%
Draw no bet: Stal Mielec49.7%
Górnik Łęczna win to nil16.4%
Stal Mielec win to nil16.2%
Team goals
Górnik Łęczna to score79.6%
Stal Mielec to score79.4%
Górnik Łęczna over 1.5 goals47.2%
Stal Mielec over 1.5 goals46.9%
Górnik Łęczna clean sheet20.6%
Stal Mielec clean sheet20.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec
Head to Head

Head to Head

Górnik Łęczna
1 - 1
Stal Mielec
February 13, 2026
Stal Mielec
1 - 1
Górnik Łęczna
August 9, 2025
Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 13, 2026Górnik Łęczna1 - 1Stal Mielec
August 9, 2025Stal Mielec1 - 1Górnik Łęczna