Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor Prediction - September 2, 2026
Alternative:0-1
Goals: Under 3.51.30Won
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Kayserispor are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Four wins from five sounds like goals for Kayserispor, except every one of those results has been settled by a single or two-goal margin, which is exactly the shape behind Superior's Under 3.5 pick at 1.30 for Fatih Karagumruk vs Kayserispor on 2 September, rated 71 percent.
Kayserispor have won four of their last five
Kayserispor arrive in form, four wins from five including a 2-0 away win at 76 Igdir Belediyespor and a 2-1 win over Konyaspor, but every one of those results has settled by a single or two-goal margin rather than a rout. Karagumruk have matched that pattern at home, winning 2-1 over both Bursaspor and Umraniyespor, so the recent baseline for this fixture is goals shared but capped rather than a shootout.
Their last h2h meeting finished 2-2
The way this loses is a repeat of the sides' last competitive meeting, a 2-2 draw in October, or either team's heaviest recent margin: Karagumruk's 2-0 loss to 76 Igdir or Kayserispor's own 2-0 defeat to Kayserispor's city rivals earlier this year. Two teams each averaging close to two goals a game combined need only one game to open up beyond the recent trend for the total to clear 3.5.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
Unlocked after full timePost match archive
Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-112.2%Projected
- 0-19.4%Alternative
- 1-28.6%
- 1-08.5%
- 2-17.9%
Top five combined: 46.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
See the ticket
Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 19, 2026 | Kayserispor | 1 - 0 | Fatih Karagümrük |
| October 24, 2025 | Fatih Karagümrük | 2 - 2 | Kayserispor |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +6 | 13 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +4 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +4 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +5 | 9 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +3 | 9 | ||
| 6 | 5 | +4 | 8 | ||
| 7 | 4 | +4 | 8 | ||
| 8 | 5 | +1 | 8 | ||
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 8 | ||
| 10 | 5 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 12 | 5 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 13 | 5 | -4 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 5 | -6 | 4 | ||
| 15 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 16 | 5 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 17 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 18 | 5 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 19 | 4 | -4 | 2 | ||
| 20 | 5 | -10 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batman Petrolspor | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 | |
| 2 | Sarıyer | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 3 | Kayserispor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| 4 | Mardin BB | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 5 | Bursaspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 8 | |
| 7 | Manisa F.K. | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 8 | Muğlaspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 9 | Fatih Karagümrük | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | Bandırmaspor | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 76 Iğdır Belediyespor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 12 | Antalyaspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 | Pendikspor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | |
| 14 | Van BB | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | |
| 15 | Erokspor | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 16 | Ümraniyespor | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | |
| 17 | BB Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | |
| 18 | Sivasspor | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | |
| 20 | Boluspor | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |