Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland Prediction - September 2, 2026

SuperligaDenmarkFull time
Aarhus
0:2
FC Midtjylland
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.20price rising, opened at 2.72
Draw3.62price rising, opened at 3.60
Away2.09price falling, opened at 2.34

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.14
Under 1.54.33
Over 2.51.56
Under 2.52.17
Over 3.52.53
Under 3.51.50
Both teams to score
Yes1.51price rising, opened at 1.50
No2.39price falling, opened at 2.42
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +0.251.91
Away -0.251.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Midtjylland are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Eleven goals in five matches is FC Midtjylland's scoring output heading into Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland on 2 September, and it underlies Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick at 1.23, rated 67 percent, even with Aarhus good for regular goals of their own this season.

Midtjylland have scored in five straight matches

FC Midtjylland's run reads a 4-1 win at Rijeka, a 1-0 win over Randers, a 2-0 win over Rijeka in the reverse fixture, a 1-1 draw at Lyngby and a 3-2 win over Bohemians, eleven goals scored across five matches without a single blank. Aarhus have been more mixed, including a 1-3 home defeat to Benfica, but their attack rating of 6.7 has still produced goals in four of their last five outings.

The reverse h2h fixture this season finished 0-0

The counter to a straightforward Over is that this exact fixture does not always follow the season trend: the two sides drew 0-0 in April and again in August last year, both blanks inside a run where Midtjylland were otherwise scoring freely elsewhere. If both defences raise their level for this specific meeting the way they have twice before against each other, Superior's Over 1.5 pick would need just one goal from open play to hold, but a repeat 0-0 is the way it fails.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.5%Projected
  2. 1-28.8%Alternative
  3. 0-18.4%
  4. 2-18.0%
  5. 1-07.6%

Top five combined: 44.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAarhusxG1.38
AwayFC MidtjyllandxG1.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5%
7.6%
5.3%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
1
8.4%
12%
8.0%
3.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
6.3%
8.8%
6.1%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
3.2%
4.4%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.2%
1.7%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 58.5%41.5% No
Over 1.5 78.5%21.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.4%44.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.0%67.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Aarhus win and over 2.5 goals21.7%
Aarhus win and both teams score18.2%
FC Midtjylland win and over 2.5 goals26.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Aarhus or draw59.3%
FC Midtjylland or draw65.4%
Either team wins75.3%
Draw no bet: Aarhus45.9%
Draw no bet: FC Midtjylland54.1%
Aarhus win to nil16.4%
FC Midtjylland win to nil19.6%
Team goals
Aarhus to score74.9%
FC Midtjylland to score78.1%
Aarhus over 1.5 goals40.2%
FC Midtjylland over 1.5 goals44.8%
Aarhus clean sheet21.9%
FC Midtjylland clean sheet25.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Aarhus: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland
Head to Head

Head to Head

Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 26, 2026Aarhus0 - 0FC Midtjylland
April 20, 2026FC Midtjylland2 - 1Aarhus
February 12, 2026Aarhus0 - 1FC Midtjylland
November 3, 2025FC Midtjylland1 - 1Aarhus
August 3, 2025Aarhus0 - 0FC Midtjylland
League Table

League Table

SuperligaDenmark · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16501158+715
26420105+514
36411104+613
4641194+513
56411117+413
66213810-27
7621358-37
8612357-25
9612359-45
106033711-43
116033711-43
126015513-81
Superliga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1FC Copenhagen6501158715
2FC Midtjylland6420105514
3Viborg6411104613
4FC Nordsjaelland641194513
5Brondby6411117413
6FC Horsens6213810-27
7Randers FC621358-37
8Odense612357-25
9Silkeborg612359-45
10Aarhus6033711-43
11Lyngby6033711-43
12Sonderjyske6015513-81