Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction - September 19, 2026

USL ChampionshipUSAFull time
Tampa Bay Rowdies
4:0
Birmingham Legion
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.60Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.31price falling, opened at 1.32
Draw5.05price rising, opened at 4.90
Away6.90price falling, opened at 6.91

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.09price falling, opened at 1.10
Under 1.55.40price rising, opened at 5.05
Over 2.51.40price falling, opened at 1.44
Under 2.52.56price rising, opened at 2.43
Over 3.52.08price falling, opened at 2.18
Under 3.51.64price rising, opened at 1.58
Both teams to score
Yes1.63price falling, opened at 1.68
No2.12price rising, opened at 2.04
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -1.251.73price falling, opened at 1.75
Away +1.251.94price rising, opened at 1.92

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Tampa Bay Rowdies are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies and Birmingham Legion average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-010.7%Our score
  2. 1-110.9%Alternative
  3. 2-110.2%
  4. 2-010.0%
  5. 3-16.5%

Top five combined: 48.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTampa Bay RowdiesxG1.89
AwayBirmingham LegionxG0.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.6%
11%
10%
6.0%
3.1%
1.3%
0.6%
1
5.1%
11%
10%
6.5%
3.2%
1.1%
0.5%
2
2.4%
5.0%
4.7%
3.3%
1.4%
0.6%
0.3%
3
0.8%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.0%46.0% No
Over 1.5 78.6%21.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.3%44.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.3%66.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Tampa Bay Rowdies win and over 2.5 goals39.0%
Tampa Bay Rowdies win and both teams score28.0%
Birmingham Legion win and over 2.5 goals10.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw82.0%
Birmingham Legion or draw40.3%
Either team wins77.7%
Draw no bet: Tampa Bay Rowdies76.8%
Draw no bet: Birmingham Legion23.2%
Tampa Bay Rowdies win to nil31.8%
Birmingham Legion win to nil8.7%
Team goals
Tampa Bay Rowdies to score85.7%
Birmingham Legion to score62.7%
Tampa Bay Rowdies over 1.5 goals57.1%
Birmingham Legion over 1.5 goals25.2%
Tampa Bay Rowdies clean sheet37.3%
Birmingham Legion clean sheet14.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion
Head to Head

Head to Head

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0 - 1Tampa Bay Rowdies
September 17, 2025Birmingham Legion1 - 4Tampa Bay Rowdies
League Table

League Table

USL ChampionshipUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12413474130+1143
11811523319+1438
2189363724+1330
22312653727+1042
32411494037+337
3178452517+828
4188373231+127
42310672721+636
5188282020026
5239953020+1036
6249963434036
6195772431-722
7249962928+136
7166462519+622
8166371920-121
824104103730+734
9174851216-420
9248973432+233
102495103134-332
10173952129-818
11173861821-317
11246992935-627
122446142542-1718
121734101732-1513
131915132351-288
USL Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1El Paso Locomotive24134741301143LWLWL
1Tampa Bay Rowdies18115233191438WWDLW
2Charleston Battery1893637241330WLDLW
2New Mexico United23126537271042WWWWD
3Colorado Springs2411494037337LWWWL
3Detroit City178452517828DLWWW
4Louisville City188373231127LWLWD
4FC Tulsa2310672721636WDWLW
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds188282020026WLLWL
5Sacramento Republic2399530201036WWDWL
6Orange County SC249963434036WWDDW
6Miami FC195772431-722DLLWD
7San Antonio249962928136WWLDW
7Rhode Island166462519622LWWLD
8Indy Eleven166371920-121LLLLW
8Lexington24104103730734WDWLW
9Hartford Athletic174851216-420LDLDL
9Phoenix Rising248973432233DDWLL
10Las Vegas Lights2495103134-332DWWLL
10Loudoun United173952129-818WWDDL
11Birmingham Legion173861821-317WLDLD
11Oakland Roots246992935-627LLLLW
12Monterey Bay2446142542-1718LLLDW
12Brooklyn1734101732-1513LLDWL
13Sporting JAX1915132351-288LLDWD