Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction - September 19, 2026

Erovnuli LigaGeorgiaFull time
Samgurali
2:3
Dinamo Tbilisi
Correct scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.39Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.30price falling, opened at 3.33
Draw3.71price rising, opened at 3.44
Away2.01price rising, opened at 1.93

Market move since Sep 19. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price rising, opened at 1.20
Under 1.54.00price rising, opened at 3.72
Over 2.51.81price rising, opened at 1.70
Under 2.52.00price rising, opened at 1.99
Over 3.52.82price rising, opened at 2.70
Under 3.51.40price rising, opened at 1.36
Both teams to score
Yes1.74price rising, opened at 1.60
No2.02price falling, opened at 2.15
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +0.252.04price rising, opened at 1.96
Away -0.251.78price rising, opened at 1.68

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Dinamo Tbilisi are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Samgurali and Dinamo Tbilisi average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.8%Our score
  2. 1-110.5%Alternative
  3. 0-18.0%
  4. 0-27.1%
  5. 2-16.7%

Top five combined: 42.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSamguralixG1.36
AwayDinamo TbilisixG2.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.8%
5.7%
3.5%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
8.0%
10%
6.7%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
7.1%
9.8%
6.3%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
4.6%
5.7%
3.8%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
2.2%
2.6%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.8%
0.9%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.5%39.5% No
Over 1.5 81.4%18.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.3%39.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 37.7%62.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Samgurali win and over 2.5 goals17.3%
Samgurali win and both teams score14.9%
Dinamo Tbilisi win and over 2.5 goals34.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Samgurali or draw50.0%
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw73.5%
Either team wins76.6%
Draw no bet: Samgurali34.7%
Draw no bet: Dinamo Tbilisi65.3%
Samgurali win to nil11.7%
Dinamo Tbilisi win to nil23.0%
Team goals
Samgurali to score72.1%
Dinamo Tbilisi to score83.5%
Samgurali over 1.5 goals36.5%
Dinamo Tbilisi over 1.5 goals54.4%
Samgurali clean sheet16.5%
Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet27.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Samgurali: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Dinamo Tbilisi: 4-3-2-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Head to Head

Head to Head

Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 18, 2026Dinamo Tbilisi5 - 3Samgurali
April 25, 2026Samgurali1 - 2Dinamo Tbilisi
February 2, 2026Dinamo Tbilisi1 - 1Samgurali
October 22, 2025Samgurali2 - 1Dinamo Tbilisi
August 10, 2025Dinamo Tbilisi1 - 1Samgurali
League Table

League Table

Erovnuli LigaGeorgia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12713864636+1047
22613763221+1146
32612954329+1445
42513483528+743
526114113429+537
6279994334+936
72795133852-1432
827611102537-1229
926510113339-625
1027211142044-2417
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Erovnuli Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Dinamo Batumi27138646361047LWWLW
2Rustavi26137632211146LWWWL
3Dinamo Tbilisi26129543291445WWLWL
4Saburtalo2513483528743WLDWL
5Dila26114113429537WWLLL
6Torpedo Kutaisi279994334936DLLLW
7Samgurali2795133852-1432DLWWW
8Gagra27611102537-1229DDWWW
9Spaeri26510113339-625DLDLW
10Meshakhte27211142044-2417LDLLL