La Luz vs Atenas Prediction - September 19, 2026

Segunda DivisiónUruguayFull time
La Luz
0:1
Atenas
Correct scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.19Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.55price rising, opened at 2.52
Draw2.83
Away2.65price falling, opened at 2.69

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.43price falling, opened at 1.44
Under 1.52.55price rising, opened at 2.52
Over 2.52.33price falling, opened at 2.35
Under 2.51.48price rising, opened at 1.47
Over 3.54.60price falling, opened at 4.65
Under 3.51.13
Both teams to score
Yes1.97
No1.72
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.87
Even1.78price rising, opened at 1.77
Handicap
Home +01.79price rising, opened at 1.77
Away +01.87price falling, opened at 1.89

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for La Luz vs Atenas?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Atenas are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • La Luz and Atenas average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-113.3%Our score
  2. 1-113.3%Alternative
  3. 0-011.3%
  4. 1-010.5%
  5. 1-28.4%

Top five combined: 56.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLa LuzxG0.99
AwayAtenasxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
10%
5.1%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
1
13%
13%
6.8%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
2
7.7%
8.4%
4.1%
1.4%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
3.2%
3.1%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.2%54.8% No
Over 1.5 64.9%35.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.8%61.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.7%81.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

La Luz win and over 2.5 goals13.9%
La Luz win and both teams score11.6%
Atenas win and over 2.5 goals20.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
La Luz or draw58.8%
Atenas or draw70.6%
Either team wins70.6%
Draw no bet: La Luz41.7%
Draw no bet: Atenas58.3%
La Luz win to nil17.9%
Atenas win to nil25.6%
Team goals
La Luz to score63.1%
Atenas to score70.8%
La Luz over 1.5 goals26.4%
Atenas over 1.5 goals34.6%
La Luz clean sheet29.2%
Atenas clean sheet36.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: La Luz vs Atenas
Head to Head

Head to Head

La Luz vs Atenas: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 14, 2026Atenas4 - 0La Luz
April 4, 2026La Luz2 - 1Atenas
September 13, 2025Atenas2 - 3La Luz
League Table

League Table

Segunda DivisiónUruguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1641185+313
2633092+712
36321137+611
4624096+310
5623185+39
6623175+29
7623165+19
7623165+19
862318809
9614156-17
10612337-45
11611447-34
126114511-64
136114613-74
14603359-43
Segunda División - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Oriental641185313LWWWD
2Plaza Colonia633092712WDDWW
3Fenix6321137611WLWWD
4Sportivo Huracan624096310DWWDD
5Colón62318539DWDLD
6Uruguay Montevideo62317529DWLWD
7Rentistas62316519DLWWD
7Rentistas Montevideo62316519
8Cerrito62318809DDLWD
9La Luz614156-17DLWDD
10Miramar612337-45DDLWL
11Paysandu611447-34LDLLW
12Atenas6114511-64LWLLL
13CA River Plate6114613-74WLLLD
14Tacuarembo603359-43DLLLD