Boston River vs Progreso Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.04

Draw3.25

Away3.67

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.31

Under 1.53.25

Over 2.52.11

Under 2.51.73

Over 3.53.71

Under 3.51.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.87

No1.87

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home -0.251.76

Away +0.252.06

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Boston River vs Progreso?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 17, 2026, 00:02 UTCModel CS-9Methodology

Why this prediction

Boston River and Progreso average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-015.9%Our score
1-112.0%Alternative
2-011.2%
0-010.5%
2-19.6%

Top five combined: 59.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBoston RiverxG1.44

AwayProgresoxG0.75

11%

16%

11%

5.5%

2.0%

0.7%

0.2%

7.6%

12%

9.6%

4.4%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

2.8%

4.4%

3.7%

1.9%

0.6%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.8%

1.2%

0.9%

0.5%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.2%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.6%57.4% No

Over 1.5 66.0%34.0% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 40.0%60.0% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 19.7%80.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Boston River win and over 2.5 goals27.7%

Boston River win and both teams score19.3%

Progreso win and over 2.5 goals8.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals22.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Boston River or draw81.5%

Progreso or draw45.2%

Either team wins73.3%

Draw no bet: Boston River74.8%

Draw no bet: Progreso25.2%

Boston River win to nil35.5%

Progreso win to nil11.4%

Team goals

Boston River to score78.1%

Progreso to score54.0%

Boston River over 1.5 goals44.4%

Progreso over 1.5 goals18.2%

Boston River clean sheet46.0%

Progreso clean sheet21.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Boston River: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Progreso: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Boston River vs Progreso

Head to Head

Boston River vs Progreso: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
March 22, 2026	Progreso	0 - 1	Boston River
January 29, 2026	Boston River	1 - 2	Progreso
August 31, 2025	Boston River	2 - 1	Progreso
June 19, 2025	Progreso	2 - 0	Boston River

League Table

Primera División - AperturaUruguay · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Peñarol Montevideo	28	17	5	6	46	23	+23	55
2	Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	7	7	44	27	+17	52
3	Racing Montevideo	28	14	10	4	35	22	+13	52
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	+7	27
4	Atletico Torque	27	15	5	7	47	31	+16	50
5	Club Nacional	29	14	4	11	43	38	+5	46
6	Wanderers	29	12	8	9	36	35	+1	44
7	Liverpool Montevideo	28	11	9	8	37	27	+10	42
8	Central Espanol	28	10	8	10	30	33	-3	38
9	Juventud	29	9	8	12	35	39	-4	35
10	Albion FC	29	9	7	13	37	38	-1	34
11	Cerro Largo	29	8	9	12	28	32	-4	33
12	Defensor Sporting	29	7	11	11	25	33	-8	32
13	Cerro	29	9	5	15	23	43	-20	32
14	Boston River	29	8	6	15	28	40	-12	30
15	Danubio	29	4	14	11	24	38	-14	26
16	Progreso	29	7	4	18	23	42	-19	25

Primera División - Apertura - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Peñarol Montevideo	28	17	5	6	46	23	23	55
2	Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	7	7	44	27	17	52	DLDWW
3	Racing Montevideo	28	14	10	4	35	22	13	52	WLDDD
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	7	27	WWDWL
4	Atletico Torque	27	15	5	7	47	31	16	50	LWWLW
5	Club Nacional	29	14	4	11	43	38	5	46	LDWLW
6	Wanderers	29	12	8	9	36	35	1	44	WWWDW
7	Liverpool Montevideo	28	11	9	8	37	27	10	42	DWLDW
8	Central Espanol	28	10	8	10	30	33	-3	38	DLDDW
9	Juventud	29	9	8	12	35	39	-4	35	DWLDL
10	Albion FC	29	9	7	13	37	38	-1	34	DLDWL
11	Cerro Largo	29	8	9	12	28	32	-4	33	LWDDW
12	Defensor Sporting	29	7	11	11	25	33	-8	32	LDDDL
13	Cerro	29	9	5	15	23	43	-20	32	WWLLW
14	Boston River	29	8	6	15	28	40	-12	30	LLDDL
15	Danubio	29	4	14	11	24	38	-14	26	DLDDD
16	Progreso	29	7	4	18	23	42	-19	25	WLLWL

Boston River vs Progreso Prediction - September 19, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Boston River vs Progreso?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

More Primera División - Apertura Predictions

Confirmed formations

Head to Head

League Table

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