Vila Nova vs America Mineiro Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:2-0

Goals: Under 3.51.35Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.41

Draw4.14

Away8.40

Odds moved since Sep 18

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.29

Under 1.53.42

Over 2.52.01

Under 2.51.80

Over 3.53.53

Under 3.51.27

Both teams to score

Yes2.17

No1.65

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home -1.251.98

Away +1.251.83

What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Vila Nova are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 15, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Serie B: Vila Nova vs América MineiroESPN BrasilUnlock with Premium

Match analysis

America Mineiro sit second-bottom of the table fighting relegation, while Vila Nova occupy mid-table with three wins in their last five, and Superior projects that gap to produce a 1-0 Vila Nova win on 18 September. A more comfortable 2-0 sits as the alternate, built on Vila Nova's ten goals scored across that same run.

America Mineiro sit 19th out of 20 in the table

That relegation fight has produced a stretched run of form, with America Mineiro winning only twice in their last five and shipping ten goals along the way, including back-to-back defeats conceding three each time. Vila Nova, sitting mid-table with nothing at stake beyond pride, have still won three of their last five and scored ten goals in that stretch, doubling their opponents' output. The head-to-head record over three meetings favours Vila Nova too, with a win and a draw against a single loss two seasons ago.

A 5-0 defeat on the road is still fresh for Vila Nova

That result, only three weeks ago, is a reminder that Vila Nova's defense can be broken open, and America Mineiro's own 2-1 home win last time out shows they can still find goals when they need them most. If America Mineiro's away form turns up even once against a Vila Nova side playing on the shorter rest, Superior's shutout alternate is the first casualty, not the header projection itself.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

Premium members saw this before kickoff.

Scoreline Depth

1-014.9%Our score
2-011.9%Alternative
1-111.4%
2-110.4%
0-07.7%

Top five combined: 56.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVila NovaxG1.69

AwayAmerica MineiroxG0.74

7.7%

15%

12%

6.8%

2.9%

1.0%

0.4%

6.0%

11%

10%

5.3%

2.2%

0.7%

0.3%

2.3%

4.3%

3.7%

2.2%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

0.6%

1.1%

0.9%

0.6%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.5%54.5% No

Over 1.5 71.4%28.6% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 45.9%54.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 23.8%76.2% Under 3.5

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Vila Nova win and over 2.5 goals33.8%

Vila Nova win and both teams score22.8%

America Mineiro win and over 2.5 goals7.8%

Draw and under 2.5 goals19.1%

Outcome markets

Vila Nova or draw83.9%

America Mineiro or draw39.5%

Either team wins76.6%

Draw no bet: Vila Nova79.0%

Draw no bet: America Mineiro21.0%

Vila Nova win to nil37.7%

America Mineiro win to nil9.2%

Team goals

Vila Nova to score83.2%

America Mineiro to score54.6%

Vila Nova over 1.5 goals51.3%

America Mineiro over 1.5 goals18.4%

Vila Nova clean sheet45.4%

America Mineiro clean sheet16.8%

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2 selections at 1.79

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Vila Nova vs America Mineiro

Head to Head

Vila Nova vs America Mineiro: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 24, 2026	America Mineiro	1 - 2	Vila Nova
October 9, 2025	America Mineiro	1 - 1	Vila Nova
June 13, 2025	Vila Nova	0 - 3	America Mineiro

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova	30	15	7	8	41	31	+10	52
2	Novorizontino	30	14	9	7	49	27	+22	51
3	Fortaleza EC	29	14	9	6	33	24	+9	51
4	Juventude	29	14	8	7	31	19	+12	50
5	Operario-PR	29	13	8	8	41	36	+5	47
6	Criciuma	29	13	8	8	28	27	+1	47
7	Atletico Goianiense	29	12	10	7	36	27	+9	46
8	CRB	29	13	6	10	42	41	+1	45
9	Sport Recife	29	11	11	7	39	29	+10	44
10	Cuiaba	29	10	13	6	30	22	+8	43
11	Goias	29	12	6	11	30	35	-5	42
12	São Bernardo	30	11	9	10	40	31	+9	42
13	Athletic Club	29	10	11	8	34	31	+3	41
14	Nautico Recife	29	10	8	11	35	36	-1	38
15	Ceara	29	9	8	12	31	37	-6	35
16	Botafogo SP	29	8	8	13	32	36	-4	32
17	Avai	29	8	6	15	30	38	-8	30
18	Londrina	30	7	8	15	39	41	-2	29
19	America Mineiro	29	4	5	20	21	49	-28	17
20	Ponte Preta	29	3	4	22	17	62	-45	13

Relegation

Serie B - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Vila Nova	30	15	7	8	41	31	10	52	LWLLW
2	Novorizontino	30	14	9	7	49	27	22	51	WLLLW
3	Fortaleza EC	29	14	9	6	33	24	9	51	WLWLW
4	Juventude	29	14	8	7	31	19	12	50	WLWWD
5	Operario-PR	29	13	8	8	41	36	5	47	LWDWW
6	Criciuma	29	13	8	8	28	27	1	47	DWWWW
7	Atletico Goianiense	29	12	10	7	36	27	9	46	WWDWL
8	CRB	29	13	6	10	42	41	1	45	WWWDL
9	Sport Recife	29	11	11	7	39	29	10	44	DDDDL
10	Cuiaba	29	10	13	6	30	22	8	43	DLLDW
11	Goias	29	12	6	11	30	35	-5	42	LDWDW
12	São Bernardo	30	11	9	10	40	31	9	42	LLDDL
13	Athletic Club	29	10	11	8	34	31	3	41	DWDDL
14	Nautico Recife	29	10	8	11	35	36	-1	38	DWLLD
15	Ceara	29	9	8	12	31	37	-6	35	WLDDL
16	Botafogo SP	29	8	8	13	32	36	-4	32	LWDDW
17	Avai	29	8	6	15	30	38	-8	30	LWDWL
18	Londrina	30	7	8	15	39	41	-2	29	LLDDW
19	America Mineiro	29	4	5	20	21	49	-28	17	WLDDL
20	Ponte Preta	29	3	4	22	17	62	-45	13	DLLLL

Vila Nova vs America Mineiro Prediction - September 18, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?

Match highlights

Match analysis

America Mineiro sit 19th out of 20 in the table

A 5-0 defeat on the road is still fresh for Vila Nova

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table