Rionegro Aguilas vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction - September 18, 2026

Primera AColombiaFull time
Rionegro Aguilas
2:2
Deportivo Pereira
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.35Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.32price falling, opened at 1.35
Draw4.70price rising, opened at 4.60
Away9.15price rising, opened at 8.25

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20price falling, opened at 1.22
Under 1.53.72price rising, opened at 3.48
Over 2.51.76price falling, opened at 1.85
Under 2.51.98price rising, opened at 1.88
Over 3.52.83price falling, opened at 3.08
Under 3.51.33price rising, opened at 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes2.11price falling, opened at 2.14
No1.65price rising, opened at 1.63
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -1.251.71price falling, opened at 1.86
Away +1.251.91price rising, opened at 1.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Rionegro Aguilas vs Deportivo Pereira?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Rionegro Aguilas are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

A relegation fight for Deportivo Pereira meets a mid-table, pressure-free Rionegro Aguilas on 18 September, and Superior projects that gap in stakes to produce a 1-0 home win, with 1-1 as the alternate. Pereira's own defense, twelve goals conceded in five matches, is the clearer factor behind the projection than the table position alone.

Pereira have conceded twelve goals in their last five games

Three of those matches saw them concede three or more, including a 1-4 defeat, and Pereira have won only once in that run despite the relegation stakes. Rionegro have not lost since a single defeat five matches back, taking four draws since, which is a stretch of stability rather than a scoring surge but still enough to edge a leakier opponent.

Pereira's 2-1 away win says their attack still works

That draw habit is the real risk to the home win Superior projects, since Rionegro have not actually won a match in this run to prove they can close one out. Pereira's away win in their last outing, 2-1, shows they can still find goals under pressure, so if either side's recent pattern simply repeats, the 1-1 alternate is just as live an outcome as the projected home win.

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.0%Our score
  2. 1-112.4%Alternative
  3. 2-19.7%
  4. 2-08.9%
  5. 0-18.5%

Top five combined: 52.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRionegro AguilasxG1.43
AwayDeportivo PereiraxG0.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.4%
13%
8.9%
4.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
1
8.5%
12%
9.7%
4.4%
1.6%
0.5%
0.2%
2
3.8%
6.1%
4.3%
2.3%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
1.3%
1.9%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.6%51.4% No
Over 1.5 70.1%29.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 45.0%55.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 23.4%76.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Rionegro Aguilas win and over 2.5 goals27.2%
Rionegro Aguilas win and both teams score20.2%
Deportivo Pereira win and over 2.5 goals12.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Rionegro Aguilas or draw75.1%
Deportivo Pereira or draw50.9%
Either team wins74.0%
Draw no bet: Rionegro Aguilas66.4%
Draw no bet: Deportivo Pereira33.6%
Rionegro Aguilas win to nil28.9%
Deportivo Pereira win to nil14.1%
Team goals
Rionegro Aguilas to score77.5%
Deportivo Pereira to score62.7%
Rionegro Aguilas over 1.5 goals43.5%
Deportivo Pereira over 1.5 goals25.5%
Rionegro Aguilas clean sheet37.3%
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet22.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Deportivo Pereira: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Rionegro Aguilas vs Deportivo Pereira
League Table

League Table

Primera AColombia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
11913153515+2040
21911263124+735
31910452925+434
41910362515+1033
5198923122+933
6198742717+1031
7197842922+729
8197752626028
8197752626028
9197662016+427
10197573123+826
11197572624+226
12197572025-526
12197572025-526
13195862620+623
141941051720-322
15195772227-522
161953112033-1318
17193881327-1417
17193881327-1417
181952121532-1717
19193792235-1316
19193792235-1316
201917111532-1710
Primera A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Atletico Nacional19131535152040WWLWW
2Junior1911263124735LLLWW
3Deportivo Pasto1910452925434LLLLL
4America de Cali19103625151033WWLDW
5Once Caldas198923122933DWDLW
6Deportes Tolima1987427171031WWLLW
7Santa Fe197842922729DLLDW
8Internacional de Bogota197752626028LLLLW
8La Equidad FC197752626028
9Deportivo Cali197662016427LWDWL
10Millonarios197573123826WLDWL
11Independiente Medellin197572624226WWLWW
12Águilas Doradas197572025-526WWWDL
12Rionegro Aguilas197572025-526
13Bucaramanga195862620623DWLDL
14Llaneros1941051720-322DWLDL
15Fortaleza FC195772227-522DDWLL
16Jaguares1953112033-1318LLWDL
17Alianza Valledupar193881327-1417LDDDL
17Alianza Petrolera193881327-1417
18Chico1952121532-1717LWLLW
19Cucuta193792235-1316LLDLW
19Cúcuta Deportivo193792235-1316
20Deportivo Pereira1917111532-1710DLLWL